Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710054, China.
Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Xi'an, 710061, China.
Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 17;8(1):12344. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30112-6.
In southeastern China (SEC), the precipitation amount produced by the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is almost equivalent to that during the non-summer monsoon (NSM) period, both of them significantly affecting agriculture and socioeconomy. Here, we present a seasonally-resolved stalagmite δO record (δO) for the interval 1810-2009 AD from E'mei cave, Jiangxi Province, SEC. The comparison between δO and instrumental data indicates that the δO variability is primarily controlled by the precipitation seasonality (i.e., the ratio of EASM/NSM precipitation) modulated by the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on interannual to interdecadal timescales. Higher (lower) δO values thereby correspond to lower (higher) EASM/NSM ratios associated with El Niño (La Niña) events. Significant correlations with ENSO and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) indicate that the precipitation seasonality in SEC is remarkably influenced by ocean-atmosphere interactions, with lower (higher) EASM/NSM ratios during warm (cold) phases of ENSO/PDO. The progressive increase in δO since 2005 AD may reflect a strengthening of the central Pacific El Niño under continued anthropogenic global warming. The relationship between seasonal precipitation and δO with ENSO/PDO requires further studies.
在中国东南部(SEC),东亚夏季风(EASM)产生的降水量几乎与非夏季季风(NSM)期间的降水量相当,这两者都对农业和社会经济产生了重大影响。在这里,我们呈现了来自 SEC 的江西峨眉山洞穴的 1810-2009 AD 期间季节性 resolved 石笋 δO 记录(δO)。δO 与仪器数据的比较表明,δO 的可变性主要受 El Niño/Southern Oscillation(ENSO)在年际到十年际时间尺度上调制的降水季节性(即 EASM/NSM 降水的比率)控制。更高(更低)的 δO 值因此对应于更低(更高)的 EASM/NSM 比率,与厄尔尼诺(拉尼娜)事件相关。与 ENSO 和太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)的显著相关性表明,SEC 的降水季节性受到海洋-大气相互作用的显著影响,在 ENSO/PDO 的暖(冷)相位期间,EASM/NSM 比率较低(较高)。自 2005 AD 以来,δO 的逐渐增加可能反映了在持续的人为全球变暖下,中太平洋厄尔尼诺现象的增强。季节性降水与 ENSO/PDO 之间的关系需要进一步研究。