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利用多元统计技术分析水质时空分布的显著环境因素:以中国八一湖为例。

Analyzing the significant environmental factors on the spatial and temporal distribution of water quality utilizing multivariate statistical techniques: a case study in the Balihe Lake, China.

机构信息

Research Center for Engineering Ecology and Nonlinear Science, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Oct;25(29):29418-29432. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-2943-9. Epub 2018 Aug 20.

Abstract

The assessment of surface water quality is significant to the management of aquatic ecosystem. In this research, in Balihe Lake which is an agricultural watershed lake, 11 environmental parameters (pH, water temperature, water depth, turbidity, DO, COD, TN, NH-N, NO-N, TP, Chl-a) are monitored at 45 sampling sites in four seasons (winter of 2016, spring, summer, and autumn of 2017). With these monitoring data, two kinds of multivariate statistical methods including cluster analysis (CA) and principal component analysis (PCA) are applied to evaluate the spatial and temporal characteristics of the surface water quality. The results reveal that the spatial clusters (less, moderately, and highly polluted sections) of 45 sampling sites classified by the CA method are exactly consistent with the geographical distribution of these sampling sites, which rely on water quality meliorating downstream. From the perspective of time scale, the correlations between environmental parameters generated by the PCA method reveal that the main factors affecting the surface water quality are different in the four seasons. For the whole study period, which is a longer time scale rather than season, the main factors are also different to that of any season. Large time scale may weaken the effect and potential risk of nutrients on water quality, and it is therefore reasonable to select seasonal scale for the study of water quality in an agricultural watershed by using PCA. The results of this research may demonstrate significance to the identification of the main pollution factors and water quality assessment in freshwater lake with multivariate statistical methods.

摘要

地表水质量评估对水生态系统管理具有重要意义。本研究以农业流域湖泊八里河为例,于 2016 年冬季、2017 年春、夏、秋四个季节在 45 个采样点监测了 11 个环境参数(pH 值、水温、水深、浊度、溶解氧、COD、TN、NH₃-N、NO₃-N、TP、Chl-a)。利用这些监测数据,采用聚类分析(CA)和主成分分析(PCA)两种多元统计方法,评价了地表水的时空特征。结果表明,CA 方法将 45 个采样点的空间聚类(轻度、中度和重度污染区)与这些采样点的地理分布完全一致,这依赖于下游的水质改善。从时间尺度上看,PCA 方法生成的环境参数之间的相关性表明,四个季节地表水质量的主要影响因素不同。对于整个研究期,即较长的时间尺度,而不是季节,主要因素也与任何季节不同。大时间尺度可能会削弱营养物质对水质的影响和潜在风险,因此,在利用 PCA 研究农业流域水质时,选择季节性尺度是合理的。本研究结果可为利用多元统计方法识别主要污染因子和淡水湖泊水质评价提供参考。

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