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运用多元统计技术对河流水质进行时空评估:越南湄公河三角洲地区芹苴市的一项研究

Temporal and spatial assessment of river surface water quality using multivariate statistical techniques: a study in Can Tho City, a Mekong Delta area, Vietnam.

作者信息

Phung Dung, Huang Cunrui, Rutherford Shannon, Dwirahmadi Febi, Chu Cordia, Wang Xiaoming, Nguyen Minh, Nguyen Nga Huy, Do Cuong Manh, Nguyen Trung Hieu, Dinh Tuan Anh Diep

机构信息

Centre for Environment and Population Health (CEPH), Griffith University, 179 Kessels Road, Nathan, Brisbane, QLD, 4111, Australia,

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2015 May;187(5):229. doi: 10.1007/s10661-015-4474-x. Epub 2015 Apr 7.

Abstract

The present study is an evaluation of temporal/spatial variations of surface water quality using multivariate statistical techniques, comprising cluster analysis (CA), principal component analysis (PCA), factor analysis (FA) and discriminant analysis (DA). Eleven water quality parameters were monitored at 38 different sites in Can Tho City, a Mekong Delta area of Vietnam from 2008 to 2012. Hierarchical cluster analysis grouped the 38 sampling sites into three clusters, representing mixed urban-rural areas, agricultural areas and industrial zone. FA/PCA resulted in three latent factors for the entire research location, three for cluster 1, four for cluster 2, and four for cluster 3 explaining 60, 60.2, 80.9, and 70% of the total variance in the respective water quality. The varifactors from FA indicated that the parameters responsible for water quality variations are related to erosion from disturbed land or inflow of effluent from sewage plants and industry, discharges from wastewater treatment plants and domestic wastewater, agricultural activities and industrial effluents, and contamination by sewage waste with faecal coliform bacteria through sewer and septic systems. Discriminant analysis (DA) revealed that nephelometric turbidity units (NTU), chemical oxygen demand (COD) and NH₃ are the discriminating parameters in space, affording 67% correct assignation in spatial analysis; pH and NO₂ are the discriminating parameters according to season, assigning approximately 60% of cases correctly. The findings suggest a possible revised sampling strategy that can reduce the number of sampling sites and the indicator parameters responsible for large variations in water quality. This study demonstrates the usefulness of multivariate statistical techniques for evaluation of temporal/spatial variations in water quality assessment and management.

摘要

本研究运用多元统计技术,包括聚类分析(CA)、主成分分析(PCA)、因子分析(FA)和判别分析(DA),对地表水水质的时空变化进行评估。2008年至2012年期间,在越南湄公河三角洲地区的芹苴市38个不同地点监测了11个水质参数。层次聚类分析将38个采样点分为三类,分别代表城乡混合区、农业区和工业区。因子分析/主成分分析在整个研究区域得出三个潜在因子,第一类有三个,第二类有四个,第三类有四个,分别解释了各自水质总方差的60%、60.2%、80.9%和70%。因子分析得出的变量因子表明,导致水质变化的参数与受干扰土地的侵蚀或污水处理厂及工业废水的流入、废水处理厂和生活污水的排放、农业活动和工业废水以及通过下水道和化粪池系统被粪便大肠菌群污染的污水有关。判别分析(DA)表明,浊度单位(NTU)、化学需氧量(COD)和NH₃是空间上的判别参数,在空间分析中的正确分类率为67%;pH值和NO₂是按季节划分的判别参数,正确分类率约为60%。研究结果提出了一种可能的修订采样策略,可减少采样点数量以及导致水质大幅变化的指标参数。本研究证明了多元统计技术在评估水质时空变化及管理方面的有用性。

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