Davies G Matt, Gray Alan
School of Environment and Natural Resources The Ohio State University 412B Kottman Hall 2021, Coffey Road Columbus Ohio 43210.
NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Bush Estate Penicuik Edinburgh EH26 0QB UK.
Ecol Evol. 2015 Oct 26;5(22):5295-5304. doi: 10.1002/ece3.1782. eCollection 2015 Nov.
Pseudoreplication is defined as the use of inferential statistics to test for treatment effects where treatments are not replicated and/or replicates are not statistically independent. It is a genuine but controversial issue in ecology particularly in the case of costly landscape-scale manipulations, behavioral studies where ethics or other concerns may limit sample sizes, ad hoc monitoring data, and the analysis of natural experiments where chance events occur at a single site. Here key publications on the topic are reviewed to illustrate the debate that exists about the conceptual validity of pseudoreplication. A survey of ecologists and case studies of experimental design and publication issues are used to explore the extent of the problem, ecologists' solutions, reviewers' attitudes, and the fate of submitted manuscripts. Scientists working across a range of ecological disciplines regularly come across the problem of pseudoreplication and build solutions into their designs and analyses. These include carefully defining hypotheses and the population of interest, acknowledging the limits of statistical inference and using statistical approaches including nesting and random effects. Many ecologists face considerable challenges getting their work published if accusations of pseudoreplication are made - even if the problem has been dealt with. Many reviewers reject papers for pseudoreplication, and this occurs more often if they haven't experienced the issue themselves. The concept of pseudoreplication is being applied too dogmatically and often leads to rejection during review. There is insufficient consideration of the associated philosophical issues and potential statistical solutions. By stopping the publication of ecological studies, reviewers are slowing the pace of ecological research and limiting the scope of management case studies, natural events studies, and valuable data available to form evidence-based solutions. Recommendations for fair and consistent treatment of pseudoreplication during writing and review are given for authors, reviewers, and editors.
伪重复被定义为在处理未被重复和/或重复不具有统计独立性的情况下,使用推断统计来检验处理效应。这在生态学中是一个真实存在但颇具争议的问题,尤其是在成本高昂的景观尺度操纵、因伦理或其他问题可能限制样本量的行为研究、临时监测数据以及自然实验分析(其中偶然事件发生在单个地点)的情况下。本文回顾了该主题的关键出版物,以说明关于伪重复概念有效性的争论。通过对生态学家的调查以及实验设计和出版问题的案例研究,来探讨该问题的严重程度、生态学家的解决方法、审稿人的态度以及投稿稿件的命运。跨多个生态学科工作的科学家经常遇到伪重复问题,并在他们的设计和分析中纳入解决方法。这些方法包括仔细定义假设和感兴趣的总体,承认统计推断的局限性,并使用包括嵌套和随机效应在内的统计方法。如果被指控存在伪重复问题,许多生态学家在发表他们的研究成果时会面临相当大的挑战——即使问题已经得到解决。许多审稿人会因伪重复问题而拒绝论文,而且如果他们自己没有遇到过这个问题,这种情况会更频繁地发生。伪重复的概念被过于教条地应用,并且常常导致在审稿过程中被拒稿。对相关哲学问题和潜在统计解决方案的考虑不足。通过阻止生态研究的发表,审稿人正在减缓生态研究的步伐,并限制管理案例研究、自然事件研究以及用于形成基于证据的解决方案的宝贵数据的范围。针对作者、审稿人和编辑,给出了在写作和审稿过程中公正、一致地处理伪重复问题的建议。