Sellers Brian G, Desmarais Sarah L, Hanger Matthew W
Eastern Michigan University.
North Carolina State University.
J Forensic Psychol Res Pract. 2017;17(3):198-215. doi: 10.1080/24732850.2017.1317560. Epub 2017 Jun 5.
Historical approaches to violence risk assessment emphasized prediction of future violence and focused on static or historical risk factors. Consideration of dynamic factors as part of a comprehensive violence risk assessment approach may allow practitioners to better tailor treatment and risk management strategies. Limited research exists on whether risk assessment instruments can detect change in dynamic factors over time. The Short-Term Assessment of Risk and Treatability: Adolescent Version (START:AV) is a relatively new risk assessment instrument that considers both Vulnerabilities and Strengths on factors that are purportedly dynamic in nature. This study examined changes in START:AV factors between initial and follow-up assessments conducted approximately three months later as part of a pilot implementation at three juvenile justice residential facilities in a Southern state. Overall, findings revealed significant item-level changes on several factors, as well as reliable changes in total scores for 28% (reliable change index; 95% confidence interval) of adolescents.
暴力风险评估的传统方法强调对未来暴力行为的预测,并侧重于静态或历史风险因素。将动态因素纳入综合暴力风险评估方法中加以考量,或许能让从业者更好地制定治疗和风险管理策略。关于风险评估工具能否检测出动态因素随时间的变化,现有研究有限。《短期风险与可治疗性评估:青少年版》(START:AV)是一种相对较新的风险评估工具,它在本质上具有动态性的因素方面,同时考虑了脆弱性和优势。本研究对约三个月后进行的初次评估与随访评估之间START:AV因素的变化进行了考察,此次评估是在南方某州的三个青少年司法寄宿设施进行的试点实施的一部分。总体而言,研究结果显示,在几个因素上存在显著的项目层面变化,并且28%的青少年(可靠变化指数;95%置信区间)总分出现了可靠变化。