Institution of Population Research, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.
Exploratory and Special Projects, International Institution for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg 2361, Austria.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Sep 10;15(9):1969. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15091969.
This paper aimed to estimate health risks focusing on respiratory diseases from exposure to gaseous multi-pollutants based on new data and revealed new evidence after the most stringent air pollution control plan in Beijing which was carried out in 2013. It used daily respiratory diseases outpatient data from a hospital located in Beijing with daily meteorological data and monitor data of air pollutants from local authorities. All data were collected from 2014 to 2016. Distributed lag non-linear model was employed. Results indicated that NO₂ and CO had positive association with outpatients number on the day of the exposure (1.045 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.003, 1.089) for CO and 1.022 (95% CI: 1.008, 1.036) for NO₂) (and on the day after the exposure (1.026 (95% CI: 1.005, 1.048) for CO and 1.013 (95% CI: 1.005, 1.021) for NO₂). Relative risk (RR) generally declines with the number of lags; ozone produces significant effects on the first day (RR = 0.993 (95% CI: 0.989, 0.998)) as well as second day (RR = 0.995 (95% CI: 0.991, 0.999)) after the exposure, while particulate pollutants did not produce significant effects. Effects from the short-term exposure to gaseous pollutants were robust after controlling for particulate matters. Our results contribute to a comprehensive understanding of the dependencies between the change of air pollutants concentration and their health effects in Beijing after the implementation of promising air regulations in 2013. Results of the study can be used to develop relevant measures minimizing the adverse health consequences of air pollutants and supporting sustainable development of Beijing as well as other rapidly growing Asian cities.
本研究旨在基于 2013 年北京实施的最严格的空气污染控制计划后的新数据,评估呼吸疾病相关的健康风险。采用新数据,揭示新证据。研究使用了一家位于北京的医院的每日呼吸道疾病门诊数据,并结合当地政府的每日气象数据和空气污染物监测数据。所有数据均采集于 2014 年至 2016 年。研究采用分布滞后非线性模型。结果表明,CO 和 NO₂与暴露当天(CO 为 1.045(95%置信区间(CI):1.003,1.089),NO₂为 1.022(95% CI:1.008,1.036))和暴露后一天(CO 为 1.026(95% CI:1.005,1.048),NO₂为 1.013(95% CI:1.005,1.021))的门诊人数呈正相关。相对风险(RR)通常随滞后天数的增加而降低;臭氧对暴露后第一天(RR=0.993(95% CI:0.989,0.998))和第二天(RR=0.995(95% CI:0.991,0.999))均有显著影响,而颗粒物污染物无显著影响。在控制颗粒物后,短期暴露于气态污染物的影响仍然稳健。本研究结果有助于全面了解 2013 年北京实施有前景的空气污染法规后,空气污染物浓度变化及其对健康影响之间的关系。研究结果可用于制定相关措施,尽量减少空气污染物对健康的不利影响,支持北京及其他快速发展的亚洲城市的可持续发展。