Yan Yaqiong, She Lu, Guo Yan, Zhao Yuanyuan, Zhang Pei, Xiang Bing, Zeng Jing, Yang Mei, Wang Liang
Wuhan Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, No.288 Machang Road, Wuhan, China.
School of Medicine, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, No.947 Heping Road, Wuhan, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Mar 1;28(25):33698-706. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-13180-6.
Evidence on the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality is still not conclusive. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationships between them in Wuhan China. Daily death numbers, concentrations of air pollutants (PM, PM, SO, NO, and O), and meteorological characteristics in Wuhan from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2019, were collected. Time-series analysis using generalized additive model was applied. The results showed that a total of 16,150 deaths (7.37 deaths per day) from COPD were observed. The daily average concentrations of PM, PM, SO, NO, and O were 59.03, 90.48, 12.91, 48.84, and 91.77 μg/m, respectively. In single pollutant model, for every increase of 10 μg/m in PM, SO, and NO levels, COPD mortality increased by 0.583% (95% CI: 0.055-1.113%), 4.299% (95% CI: 0.978-7.729%), and 1.816% (95% CI: 0.515-3.313%) at lag03, respectively. No significant associations were found for PM and O. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that females were more susceptible to PM, PM, SO, and NO. The concentrations of PM, SO, and NO were significantly associated with COPD mortality for older adults. The effects of PM and O on COPD mortality were higher in warm period. In two-pollutant models, the significantly positive associations between SO and NO and COPD mortality remained after adjusting for PM or O. In conclusions, short-term exposure to PM, SO, and NO are significantly associated with a higher risk of COPD mortality. Female or elderly are more susceptible to air pollution. It is urgent to implement the environmental protection policy.
关于环境空气污染对慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)死亡率的短期影响的证据仍不确凿。本研究的目的是在中国武汉调查它们之间的关系。收集了2014年1月1日至2019年12月31日武汉的每日死亡人数、空气污染物(PM、PM、SO、NO和O)浓度以及气象特征。应用广义相加模型进行时间序列分析。结果显示,共观察到16150例COPD死亡(每日7.37例死亡)。PM、PM、SO、NO和O的日平均浓度分别为59.03、90.48、12.91、48.84和91.77μg/m。在单污染物模型中,PM、SO和NO水平每增加10μg/m,COPD死亡率在滞后03时分别增加0.583%(95%CI:0.055-1.113%)、4.299%(95%CI:0.978-7.729%)和1.816%(95%CI:0.515-3.313%)。未发现PM和O有显著关联。亚组分析表明,女性对PM、PM、SO和NO更敏感。PM、SO和NO的浓度与老年人的COPD死亡率显著相关。在温暖时期,PM和O对COPD死亡率的影响更高。在双污染物模型中,在调整PM或O后,SO和NO与COPD死亡率之间的显著正相关仍然存在。总之,短期暴露于PM、SO和NO与COPD死亡风险较高显著相关。女性或老年人更容易受到空气污染影响。实施环境保护政策刻不容缓。