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健康转型计划对伊朗住院率的影响:一项中断时间序列研究。

The impact of health transformation plan on hospitalization rates in Iran: An interrupted time series.

机构信息

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.

Department of Health Services Management and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Int J Health Plann Manage. 2019 Jan;34(1):e264-e273. doi: 10.1002/hpm.2645. Epub 2018 Sep 12.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The study aims to assess the impact of health transformation plan (HTP) as a major health system reform on hospitalization rate in Iran. Health transformation plan adopted different measures to increase the coverage of basic health insurance, increase the quality of outpatient visit care, improve and expand the family physician program, expand health services to suburban areas, reduce out-of-pocket (OOP) payments for inpatient services, and update tariffs to more realistic ones.

METHODS

We selected Kurdistan province, a province that was not a patient referral hub, for the collection of monthly hospitalization data over a period of 50 months. Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis was carried out, and segmented regression analysis was employed to assess the abrupt (or short-term) and gradual (or long-term) effects of HTP on hospitalization rate.

RESULTS

Although before the intervention, there was no significant increase or decline in hospitalization rate in the Kurdistan province, after the implementation of HTP, a significant increase in the intercept and slope of hospitalization rate was observed (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Health transformation plan has improved the utilization of hospitalization care services in a province that historically had been suffering from underutilized hospital services.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估健康转型计划(HTP)作为一项主要的医疗体制改革对伊朗住院率的影响。健康转型计划采取了多种措施来增加基本医疗保险的覆盖范围,提高门诊就诊服务质量,改善和扩大家庭医生项目,将医疗服务扩展到郊区,降低住院服务的自费(OOP)支出,并将费率更新为更现实的水平。

方法

我们选择库尔德斯坦省作为研究对象,该省不是患者转诊中心,用于收集 50 个月的每月住院数据。我们进行了中断时间序列(ITS)分析,并采用分段回归分析评估了 HTP 对住院率的突然(短期)和渐进(长期)影响。

结果

尽管在干预前,库尔德斯坦省的住院率没有明显的增加或下降趋势,但在 HTP 实施后,住院率的截距和斜率显著增加(P<0.001)。

结论

健康转型计划改善了一个历史上医院服务利用率较低的省份的住院服务利用情况。

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