Infections and Cancer Epidemiology Group, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Cancer Epidemiology Unit, CRO Aviano National Cancer Institute IRCCS, Aviano, Italy.
Int J Cancer. 2019 May 1;144(9):2082-2087. doi: 10.1002/ijc.31884. Epub 2018 Nov 5.
Thyroid cancer incidence varies greatly between and within high-income countries (HICs), and overdiagnosis likely plays a major role in these differences. Yet, little is known about the situation in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compare up-to-date thyroid cancer incidence and mortality at national and subnational levels. 599,851 thyroid cancer cases in subjects aged 20-74 reported in Cancer Incidence in Five Continents volume XI from 55 countries with at least 0.5 million population, aged 20-74 years, covered by population-based cancer registration, and 22,179 deaths from the WHO Mortality Database for 36 of the selected countries, over 2008-2012, were included. Age-standardized rates were computed. National incidence rates varied 50-fold. Rates were 4 times higher among women than men, with similar patterns between countries. The highest rates (>25 cases per 100,000 women) were observed in the Republic of Korea, Israel, Canada, the United States, Italy, France, and LMICs such as Turkey, Costa Rica, Brazil, and Ecuador. Incidence rates were low (<8) in a few HICs (the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and Denmark) and lowest (3-4) in some LMICs (such as Uganda and India). Within-country incidence rates varied up to 45-fold, with the largest differences recorded between rural and urban areas in Canada (HIC) and Brazil, India, and China (LMICs). National mortality rates were very low (<2) in all countries and in both sexes, and highest in LMICs. The very high thyroid cancer incidence and low mortality rates in some LMICs also strongly suggest a major role of overdiagnosis in these countries.
甲状腺癌的发病率在高收入国家(HIC)之间和内部差异很大,过度诊断可能在这些差异中起主要作用。然而,关于中低收入国家(LMIC)的情况知之甚少。我们比较了国家和次国家层面最新的甲状腺癌发病率和死亡率。在 55 个至少有 500 万人口的国家/地区,使用基于人群的癌症登记数据,涵盖了年龄在 20-74 岁的人群,从《五大洲癌症发病率》第十一卷中报告了 599,851 例年龄在 20-74 岁的甲状腺癌病例,并结合世界卫生组织 2008-2012 年期间 36 个选定国家的死亡率数据库中的 22,179 例死亡病例,纳入研究。计算了年龄标准化率。国家发病率差异高达 50 倍。女性发病率是男性的 4 倍,且各国的模式相似。最高的发病率(>25 例/每 100,000 名女性)出现在韩国、以色列、加拿大、美国、意大利、法国和土耳其、哥斯达黎加、巴西和厄瓜多尔等 LMIC 国家。少数 HIC(荷兰、英国和丹麦)的发病率较低(<8),而一些 LMIC(如乌干达和印度)的发病率最低(3-4)。在一个国家内,发病率差异高达 45 倍,最大差异记录在加拿大(HIC)和巴西、印度和中国(LMIC)的城乡地区之间。所有国家和男女两性的全国死亡率都非常低(<2),LMIC 国家的死亡率最高。一些 LMIC 国家甲状腺癌发病率非常高而死亡率非常低,这强烈表明过度诊断在这些国家中起主要作用。