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2003 - 2016年伊朗西南部某省的癌症趋势

Cancer trends in a province of Southwest of Iran, 2003-2016.

作者信息

Ahmadi Ali, Salehi Fatemeh, Ahmadimirghaed Zenab

机构信息

Modeling in Health Research Center, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences, Shahrekord, Iran.

出版信息

J Res Med Sci. 2018 Sep 24;23:80. doi: 10.4103/jrms.JRMS_68_18. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Awareness of the trends of cancer incidence in each geographic region is an important. The aim of present study was to determine the incidence trends of cancer in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (Ch and B) province in Southwest of Iran.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this secondary data analysis, retrospective existing data were used from cancer registry reports in Ch and B in Southwest of Iran in 2003-2016. Data on epidemiologic trend were analyzed using Joinpoint software package and annual percentage change (APC) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was computed.

RESULTS

Age-standardized incidence rate per 100,000 persons in the province in 2003 was 31.74 that increased to 147.14 in 2016. APC during 2003-2016 was 12.58% (CI: 9.3-16) and significant, which was 10.22% (7.4-13.1) and 14.47% (10.2-18.9) in men and women, respectively. Incidence of the stomach, breast, colorectal, thyroid, lymph node, and ovarian cancers is increasing and the highest incidence was observed in two age groups of 25-34 and 55-64 years.

CONCLUSION

In general, cancers are of increasing trend. Surveillance and monitoring the incidence of cancer and studying the causes of environmental or genetic in the cancer changes can help for cancer prevention and control.

摘要

背景

了解每个地理区域的癌症发病率趋势很重要。本研究的目的是确定伊朗西南部恰哈马哈勒-巴赫蒂亚里省(Ch和B省)的癌症发病率趋势。

材料与方法

在这项二次数据分析中,使用了2003 - 2016年伊朗西南部Ch和B省癌症登记报告中的回顾性现有数据。使用Joinpoint软件包分析流行病学趋势数据,并计算95%置信区间(95%CI)的年度百分比变化(APC)。

结果

该省2003年每10万人的年龄标准化发病率为31.74,2016年增至147.14。2003 - 2016年期间的APC为12.58%(CI:9.3 - 16)且具有显著性,男性和女性分别为10.22%(7.4 - 13.1)和14.47%(10.2 - 18.9)。胃癌、乳腺癌、结直肠癌、甲状腺癌、淋巴结癌和卵巢癌的发病率正在上升,在25 - 34岁和55 - 64岁这两个年龄组中观察到最高发病率。

结论

总体而言,癌症呈上升趋势。监测癌症发病率并研究癌症变化中的环境或遗传原因有助于癌症的预防和控制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5e42/6161484/8596ff908ad7/JRMS-23-80-g004.jpg

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