Department of General Surgery, Breast Disease Center, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Department of Pharmacy, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.
Thorac Cancer. 2018 Nov;9(11):1565-1572. doi: 10.1111/1759-7714.12852. Epub 2018 Sep 17.
Prognostic assessment after preoperative systemic therapy (PST) is critical to develop a therapeutic strategy for breast cancer management. Currently, a clinical-pathologic staging system that incorporates ER status and nuclear grading (CPS + EG), and the Neo-Bioscore system that includes HER2 status into CPS + EG, are used to predict outcomes in patients with breast cancer after PST. While HER2-positive is recognized as a favorable factor in the Neo-Bioscore system based on results in patients administered one year of trastuzumab as anti-HER2 therapy, most HER2-positive cases have difficulty accessing anti-HER2 treatment in China. Therefore, it is crucial that a modified Neo-Bioscore staging system is developed that incorporates an additional factor of poor prognosis, HER2-positive status without trastuzumab treatment, to determine accurate prognosis. We propose a retrospective multicenter cohort study in China to validate CPS + EG, Neo-Bioscore, and the modified Neo-Bioscore system and determine the accuracy of prediction. Primary breast cancer patients without metastasis treated with PST and surgery in academic institutions or hospitals of provincial level in China will be included. Disease-free, disease specific, and overall survival will be calculated using the Kaplan-Meier Method, stratified by CPS + EG, Neo-Bioscore, and the modified Neo-Bioscore staging system. Areas under the curve of each staging system will be calculated. Multivariate analysis using Wald testing and maximum likelihood estimates in a Cox proportional hazards model will be conducted.
术前全身治疗(PST)后的预后评估对于制定乳腺癌管理的治疗策略至关重要。目前,临床病理分期系统(纳入 ER 状态和核分级(CPS+EG))和新生物评分系统(包括 HER2 状态纳入 CPS+EG)用于预测 PST 后乳腺癌患者的结局。虽然在接受一年曲妥珠单抗抗 HER2 治疗的患者中,基于结果,HER2 阳性在新生物评分系统中被认为是一个有利因素,但在中国,大多数 HER2 阳性病例难以获得抗 HER2 治疗。因此,开发一种改良的新生物评分系统,纳入预后不良的额外因素,即未经曲妥珠单抗治疗的 HER2 阳性状态,以确定准确的预后至关重要。我们提出了一项在中国进行的回顾性多中心队列研究,以验证 CPS+EG、新生物评分系统和改良的新生物评分系统,并确定预测的准确性。将包括在中国的学术机构或省级医院接受 PST 和手术治疗且无转移的原发性乳腺癌患者。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法计算无病生存、疾病特异性生存和总生存,并按 CPS+EG、新生物评分系统和改良的新生物评分系统进行分层。计算每个分期系统的曲线下面积。将使用 Wald 检验和 Cox 比例风险模型中的最大似然估计进行多变量分析。