Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau, 4600 Silver Hill Rd., Washington, DC, 20233, USA.
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, 400 7th Street SW, Washington, DC, 20219, USA.
Demography. 2018 Dec;55(6):2161-2180. doi: 10.1007/s13524-018-0720-5.
Declines in migration across labor markets have prompted concerns that the U.S. economy is becoming less dynamic. In this study, we examine the relationship between residential migration and employer-to-employer transitions in the United States, using both survey and administrative records data. We first note strong disagreement between the Current Population Survey (CPS) and other migration statistics on the timing and severity of any decline in U.S. interstate migration. Despite these divergent patterns for overall residential migration, we find consistent evidence of a substantial decline in economic migration between 2000 and 2010. We find that composition and the returns to migration have limited ability to explain recent changes in interstate migration.
劳动力市场间移民的减少引发了人们的担忧，即美国经济的活力正在下降。在这项研究中，我们使用调查和行政记录数据，考察了美国居住迁移与雇主-雇主间流动之间的关系。我们首先注意到，在美国家庭迁移的时间和严重程度上，当前人口调查（CPS）和其他移民统计数据之间存在很大分歧。尽管整体居住迁移的模式存在分歧，但我们发现有确凿证据表明，2000 年至 2010 年间，经济移民数量大幅减少。我们发现，移民的构成和回报对近期州际移民的变化解释力有限。
