Ekkelenkamp Miquel B, van Werkhoven C H, Bruijning-Verhagen Patricia C J, Bonten Marc J M
UMC Utrecht, afd. Medische Microbiologie.
Julius Centrum voor Gezondheidswetenschappen en Eerstelijns Geneeskunde.
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 2018 Sep 6;162:D3285.
Based on current research, there are no valid reasons to assume that influenza vaccination of people aged 60 and over without any other medical indications, in the context of the national programme of influenza prevention, leads to significant, relevant and cost-effective health benefits. In view of the pressure on health care budgets and the decreasing social willingness to vaccinate, it is of great and urgent importance that the actual effect of influenza vaccination is quantified in a double-blind placebo-controlled randomized trial (RCT) with relevant outcome measures, which does not suffer from the methodological shortcomings of the few previous studies. In order to demonstrate a 10% reduction in hospitalisation for respiratory infections, this RCT should include approximately 100,000 subjects and follow these participants for three years. We consider such a trial feasible in the Dutch situation.
基于目前的研究,没有合理的理由假定,在国家流感预防计划的背景下,对60岁及以上且无其他医学指征的人群进行流感疫苗接种会带来显著、相关且具有成本效益的健康益处。鉴于医疗保健预算的压力以及社会接种意愿的下降,通过一项采用相关结局指标的双盲安慰剂对照随机试验(RCT)来量化流感疫苗接种的实际效果具有极大的紧迫性,该试验不应存在以往少数研究的方法学缺陷。为了证明呼吸道感染住院率降低10%,这项RCT应纳入约10万名受试者,并对这些参与者进行三年的随访。我们认为这样的试验在荷兰的情况下是可行的。