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2005-2013 年中国北京某农村地区臭氧对死亡率的急性影响估计:一项时间分层病例交叉研究。

Estimated Acute Effects of Ozone on Mortality in a Rural District of Beijing, China, 2005⁻2013: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study.

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather & Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry of CMA, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China.

Institute of Environmental Pollution and Health, School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2018 Nov 5;15(11):2460. doi: 10.3390/ijerph15112460.

Abstract

Studies have shown that ozone (O₃) has adverse impacts on human health. In China, O₃ levels have continued to increase since 2010. When compared to the large number of studies concerning the health effects of PM in China, there have been limited explorations of the effects of O₃. The Beijing region has one of the highest O₃ concentrations in the country, but there appear to be no published studies regarding the health effects of O₃ in Beijing. In this study, we applied a time-stratified case-crossover design to explore the effects of O₃ on cause-specific mortality for a rural location near Beijing over the period 2005⁻2013. For year-round effects, we found that for all-causes mortality, with a 10-unit increase in O₃ concentration, the odds ratios (ORs) were in the range of 1.009⁻1.020 for different lag days. The ORs for cardiovascular mortality with a 10-unit increase in O₃ concentration were in the range of 1.011⁻1.017 for different lag days. For warm season effects, the ORs with a 10-unit increase in O₃ concentration for all-cause mortality were in the range of 1.025⁻1.031 for different lag days. The ORs for cardiovascular mortality with a 10-unit increase of O₃ concentration were in the range of 1.020⁻1.024 for different lag days. Our findings fill a knowledge gap that has hitherto existed in studies regarding O₃ health impacts, and our results will strengthen the rationale for O₃ control in China.

摘要

研究表明,臭氧(O₃)对人体健康有不良影响。自 2010 年以来,中国的臭氧水平持续上升。与大量关于中国 PM 健康影响的研究相比,对臭氧影响的研究有限。北京地区的臭氧浓度是全国最高的地区之一,但似乎没有关于北京地区臭氧健康影响的已发表研究。在这项研究中,我们应用时间分层病例交叉设计,探讨了 2005 年至 2013 年期间北京附近农村地区臭氧对特定病因死亡率的影响。对于全年的影响,我们发现对于全因死亡率,臭氧浓度每增加 10 个单位,不同滞后天数的比值比(ORs)在 1.009-1.020 之间。臭氧浓度每增加 10 个单位,心血管疾病死亡率的 ORs 在不同滞后天数的范围为 1.011-1.017。对于暖季的影响,臭氧浓度每增加 10 个单位,全因死亡率的 ORs 在不同滞后天数的范围为 1.025-1.031。臭氧浓度每增加 10 个单位,心血管疾病死亡率的 ORs 在不同滞后天数的范围为 1.020-1.024。我们的发现填补了臭氧健康影响研究中迄今存在的知识空白,我们的研究结果将为中国的臭氧控制提供更强的理由。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/50a6/6266742/ca253128deea/ijerph-15-02460-g001.jpg

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