Manuelli Rodolfo E, Seshadri Ananth
Manuelli: Department of Economics, Washington University in St. Louis, One Brookings Drive, St. Louis, MO 63130, and Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (
Am Econ Rev. 2014 Sep;104(9):2736-2762. doi: 10.1257/aer.104.9.2736.
We reevaluate the role of human capital in determining the wealth of nations. We use standard human capital theory to estimate stocks of human capital and allow the quality of human capital to vary across countries. Our model can explain differences in schooling and earnings profiles and, consequently, estimates of Mincerian rates of return across countries. We find that effective human capital per worker varies substantially across countries. Cross-country differences in Total Factor Productivity (TFP) are significantly smaller than found in previous studies. Our model implies that output per worker is highly responsive to changes in TFP and demographic variables.
我们重新评估人力资本在决定国家财富方面的作用。我们运用标准人力资本理论来估算人力资本存量,并允许人力资本质量在不同国家间存在差异。我们的模型能够解释不同国家在受教育程度和收入分布方面的差异,进而解释各国明瑟收益率的估计值。我们发现,每个工人的有效人力资本在不同国家间存在显著差异。全要素生产率(TFP)的跨国差异比以往研究中发现的要小得多。我们的模型表明,每个工人的产出对全要素生产率和人口变量的变化具有高度敏感性。