Choudhary Pushpa, Velaga Nagendra R
a Transportation Systems Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering , Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Bombay , Powai , Mumbai , India.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2018;19(8):806-811. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2018.1517237. Epub 2018 Nov 19.
The present study aims to quantify the effects of texting and driver behavior on the accident risk associated with a sudden event. Further, the study attempts to compare the effects of driving behavior of inexperienced young and professional drivers on risk during predetection and postdetection phases of the event.
Forty-nine drivers from 2 categories-inexperienced young drivers and experienced professional drivers-took part in simulated experiments. The participants drove in a free-flow road environment under 3 driving conditions: no distraction (baseline) and writing short and long texts while driving. The participants were exposed to a sudden hazardous event during each drive. Accident probability during the sudden event was modeled with a generalized linear mixed model (with a logit link function).
As expected, both texting tasks increased accident risk, and the risk was much higher for inexperienced young drivers than for professional drivers. Time lapsed in reducing speed increased the odds for accident risk significantly. A comparative analysis of the driver categories showed that impairment in driving behavior due to the texting tasks was similar for both groups during the predetection phase. However, the risk associated with the texting tasks was higher for young drivers during the postdetection phase. A possible reason could be that young drivers had 65% and 75% higher approach speeds (than the professional drivers) during the short and long text tasks, respectively.
The results provide statistical evidence that increased speed is expressed as increased risk-taking behavior among young drivers, which subsequently is the main reason for their higher accident risk during texting tasks. Moreover, the results confirm that professional drivers are not able to mitigate the increased accident risk associated with texting tasks due to late detection of the event during the tasks.
本研究旨在量化发短信和驾驶员行为对与突发事件相关的事故风险的影响。此外,该研究试图比较缺乏经验的年轻驾驶员和专业驾驶员的驾驶行为在事件预检测和后检测阶段对风险的影响。
49名驾驶员分为两类——缺乏经验的年轻驾驶员和经验丰富的专业驾驶员——参与了模拟实验。参与者在3种驾驶条件下于自由流道路环境中驾驶:无干扰(基线)以及在驾驶时编写短文本和长文本。每次驾驶过程中,参与者都会遭遇突发危险事件。利用广义线性混合模型(采用logit链接函数)对突发事件期间的事故概率进行建模。
正如预期的那样,两项发短信任务均增加了事故风险,且缺乏经验的年轻驾驶员的风险远高于专业驾驶员。减速所花费的时间显著增加了事故风险的几率。对驾驶员类别进行的比较分析表明,在预检测阶段,两组因发短信任务导致的驾驶行为受损情况相似。然而,在后检测阶段,年轻驾驶员与发短信任务相关的风险更高。一个可能的原因是,在短文本和长文本任务期间,年轻驾驶员的接近速度分别比专业驾驶员高65%和75%。
研究结果提供了统计证据,表明速度增加表现为年轻驾驶员中冒险行为的增加,这随后是他们在发短信任务期间事故风险较高的主要原因。此外,研究结果证实,由于在任务期间对事件的检测较晚,专业驾驶员无法减轻与发短信任务相关的事故风险增加。