Predictive Early Recurrence Factors of Preoperative Clinicophysiological Findings in Pancreatic Cancer.

BACKGROUND

We aimed to evaluate the use of preoperative clinicophysiological parameters as predictive risk factors for early recurrence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after curative resection.

METHODS

A total of 260 patients who underwent pancreatic resection for PDAC between 2007 and 2015 were examined retrospectively. We divided the patients into those with early recurrence (within 6 months; group A, n = 52) and those with relapse within ≥6 months or without recurrence (group B, n = 208). Data regarding clinicophysiological parameters were analyzed as predictors of disease-free survival (DFS). These factors were analyzed by χ2 tests on univariate analysis and Cox proportional hazard models on multivariate analyses. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated using log-rank tests.

RESULTS

Groups A and B had significantly different preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels, and curability. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that CA19-9 and CEA were independent prognostic factors for early recurrence. Patients with CA19-9 levels > 124.65 U/mL had significantly shorter DFS than those with lower levels, as did patients with CEA levels > 4.45 ng/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that elevated CA19-9 (> 124.65 U/mL) and CEA (> 4.45 ng/mL) were independent predictors of early recurrence after pancreatic resection in PDAC patients.