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评估由实时定位系统确定的动物与动物之间以及群体接触结构,以关联并预测育肥牛进入饲养场后前28天内新的牛呼吸道疾病诊断情况。

Evaluation of animal-to-animal and community contact structures determined by a real-time location system for correlation with and prediction of new bovine respiratory disease diagnoses in beef cattle during the first 28 days after feedlot entry.

作者信息

Shane Douglas D, McLellan Jiena G, White Brad J, Larson Robert L, Amrine David E, Sanderson Michael W, Apley Michael D

出版信息

Am J Vet Res. 2018 Dec;79(12):1277-1286. doi: 10.2460/ajvr.79.12.1277.

DOI:10.2460/ajvr.79.12.1277
PMID:30457908
Abstract

OBJECTIVE To determine whether animal-to-animal and community contact patterns were correlated with and predictive for bovine respiratory disease (BRD) in beef steers during the first 28 days after feedlot entry. ANIMALS 70 weaned beef steers (mean weight, 248.9 kg). PROCEDURES Calves were instrumented with a real-time location system transmitter tag and commingled in a single pen. The location of each calf was continuously monitored. Contact between calves was defined as ≤ 0.5 m between pen coordinates, and the duration that 2 calves were within 0.5 m of each other was calculated daily. Bovine respiratory disease was defined as respiratory tract signs and a rectal temperature > 40°C. Locational data were input into a community detection program to determine daily calf contact and community profiles. The number of BRD cases within each community was determined. A random forest algorithm was then applied to the data to determine whether contact measures were predictive of BRD. RESULTS Probability of BRD was positively correlated with the number of seconds a calf spent in contact with calves presumably shedding BRD pathogens and number of calves with BRD within the community on the day being evaluated and the previous 2 days. Diagnostic performance of the random forest algorithm varied, with the positive and negative predictive values generally < 10% and > 90%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE Results indicated that direct transmission of BRD pathogens likely occurs among feedlot cattle. The relative contribution of animal-to-animal contact to BRD risk remains unknown and warrants further investigation.

摘要

目的 确定在育肥牛进入饲养场后的前28天内,动物与动物之间的接触模式以及群体接触模式是否与肉牛的牛呼吸道疾病(BRD)相关并可预测该疾病。

动物 70头断奶肉牛(平均体重248.9千克)。

方法 给犊牛佩戴实时定位系统发射标签,并将它们混合饲养在一个围栏中。持续监测每头犊牛的位置。犊牛之间的接触定义为围栏坐标之间的距离≤0.5米,并每天计算两头犊牛彼此距离在0.5米以内的时长。牛呼吸道疾病定义为呼吸道症状且直肠温度>40°C。将位置数据输入社区检测程序,以确定每日犊牛接触情况和群体概况。确定每个群体内的BRD病例数。然后将随机森林算法应用于这些数据,以确定接触指标是否可预测BRD。

结果 BRD的发生概率与犊牛与可能携带BRD病原体的犊牛接触的秒数、在评估当天及前2天群体内患BRD的犊牛数量呈正相关。随机森林算法的诊断性能各不相同,其阳性预测值和阴性预测值通常分别<10%和>90%。

结论及临床意义 结果表明,BRD病原体可能在饲养场的牛之间直接传播。动物与动物接触对BRD风险的相对贡献尚不清楚,值得进一步研究。

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