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岛征与点征在预测脑出血患者短期预后中的对比研究。

The comparative study of island sign and the spot sign in predicting short-term prognosis of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage.

机构信息

Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China; Department of Pathology, Case Western Reserve University, OH, USA.

Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

J Neurol Sci. 2019 Jan 15;396:133-139. doi: 10.1016/j.jns.2018.11.022. Epub 2018 Nov 17.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

It is well known that early hematoma expansion is associated with short-term prognosis of patients with intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). And spot sign is recognized as a reliable computed tomography angiography (CTA) predictor for early hematoma expansion. Recently, island sign is also reported as a novel computed tomography (CT) predictor for early hematoma growth. Here, we compared the predictive abilities of these two signs for short-term outcomes of ICH patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All the ICH patients were retrospectively identified. Clinical characteristics and radiological parameters were obtained from electronic medical records. Hematoma expansion, spot sign and island sign were assessed by two senior neurologists according to the initial and follow-up CT scans. 3-months prognoses were estimated according to Glasgow outcome scale (GOS). Multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to explore the associations of short-term prognosis on island sign, spot sign and other clinical variables.

RESULTS

There were 283 ICH patients included. 113 of them presented with early hematoma expansions. 66 of them exhibited island sign, while spot sign occurred in 85 patients. Univariate analyses demonstrated that GCS score at admission (OR: 0.464, 95%CI: 0.395-0.547), hematoma volume (OR:1.062, 95%CI: 1.041-1.083), interventricular extension(OR:9.528, 95%CI: 3.915-23.187), island sign (OR: 4.595, 95%CI: 2.404-8.784) and spot sign (OR: 4.052, 95%CI: 2.297-7.147) were correlated with 3-months morbidity. Moreover, multivariate logistic regression analyses further revealed that both spot sign (OR: 3.413, 95%CI: 1.570-7.422) and island sign (OR: 7.564, 95%CI: 2.969-19.273) were strongly associated with 3-months poor outcome and have comparable predictive values (AUC: 0.636 vs. 0.622, P = .58). However, spot sign exhibited a superior predictive ability for 3-months mortality compared to island sign (OR: 2.713, 95%CI: 1.570-4.217 vs. OR: 2.362, 95%CI: 1.238-3.899, AUC: 0.700 vs. 0.603, P < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Island sign is not just a convenient and reliable predictor for short-term prognosis of ICH patients, but also could be used as an indicator for accurate diagnosis and aggressive treatment.

摘要

目的

众所周知,早期血肿扩大与颅内出血(ICH)患者的短期预后相关。斑点征被认为是可靠的 CT 血管造影(CTA)预测早期血肿扩大的指标。最近,岛征也被报道为一种新的 CT 预测早期血肿生长的指标。在这里,我们比较了这两个指标对 ICH 患者短期结局的预测能力。

方法

回顾性识别所有 ICH 患者。从电子病历中获取临床特征和影像学参数。两位资深神经科医生根据初始和随访 CT 扫描评估血肿扩大、斑点征和岛征。根据格拉斯哥结局量表(GOS)评估 3 个月的预后。采用多变量逻辑回归分析探讨短期预后与岛征、斑点征和其他临床变量的关系。

结果

共纳入 283 例 ICH 患者,其中 113 例出现早期血肿扩大,66 例出现岛征,85 例出现斑点征。单因素分析表明,入院时 GCS 评分(OR:0.464,95%CI:0.395-0.547)、血肿体积(OR:1.062,95%CI:1.041-1.083)、室间延伸(OR:9.528,95%CI:3.915-23.187)、岛征(OR:4.595,95%CI:2.404-8.784)和斑点征(OR:4.052,95%CI:2.297-7.147)与 3 个月的发病率相关。此外,多变量逻辑回归分析进一步表明,斑点征(OR:3.413,95%CI:1.570-7.422)和岛征(OR:7.564,95%CI:2.969-19.273)均与 3 个月的不良预后密切相关,且具有相当的预测价值(AUC:0.636 比 0.622,P=0.58)。然而,与岛征相比,斑点征对 3 个月死亡率的预测能力更强(OR:2.713,95%CI:1.570-4.217 比 OR:2.362,95%CI:1.238-3.899,AUC:0.700 比 0.603,P<0.01)。

结论

岛征不仅是 ICH 患者短期预后的一个方便可靠的预测指标,而且可以作为准确诊断和积极治疗的指标。

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