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[评估简单诊断试验的原则]

[Principles for evaluating simple, diagnostic tests].

作者信息

Richter K, Abel U, Klar R, Köbberling J, Trampisch H J, Windeler J

机构信息

Medizinische Klinik, Ferdinand-Sauerbruch-Klinikum, Wuppertal.

出版信息

Klin Wochenschr. 1988 Aug 1;66(15):655-61. doi: 10.1007/BF01726922.

DOI:10.1007/BF01726922
PMID:3050264
Abstract

The fundamental terms in the evaluation of diagnostic tests are described and the differences to corresponding test parameters in clinical chemistry are emphasized. The derivation of a two-by two contingency table is explained in detail and basic characteristics of diagnostic tests, i.e. sensitivity and specificity as well as their independence of the prevalence (in the sense of a-priori-probability) is pointed out. The importance of the so-called predictive values is shown graphically, also the problem of selecting a cut-off-level (discrimination value) for the evaluation of quantitative data. The various attempts to find a single value for the description of a diagnostic test are discussed and it is stressed that there is no principal necessity to use other terms than those mentioned above. Nevertheless it is possible to give a prevalence-independent measure which has some additional advantages in rating and comparing simple diagnostic tests.

摘要

文中描述了诊断试验评估中的基本术语,并强调了与临床化学中相应试验参数的差异。详细解释了二乘二列联表的推导过程,并指出了诊断试验的基本特征,即敏感性和特异性,以及它们与患病率(在先验概率意义上)的独立性。以图形方式展示了所谓预测值的重要性,以及为评估定量数据选择临界值(判别值)的问题。讨论了寻找单一值来描述诊断试验的各种尝试,并强调除上述术语外,原则上没有必要使用其他术语。然而,有可能给出一种与患病率无关的测量方法,它在评估和比较简单诊断试验方面具有一些额外的优势。

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引用本文的文献

1
[Evaluating diagnostic measures].[评估诊断措施]
Klin Wochenschr. 1990 Mar 16;68(6):297-8. doi: 10.1007/BF01649019.

本文引用的文献

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Statistical problems in assessing methods of medical diagnosis, with special reference to X-ray techniques.医学诊断方法评估中的统计学问题,特别涉及X射线技术。
Public Health Rep (1896). 1947 Oct 3;62(40):1432-49.
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Index for rating diagnostic tests.诊断试验评级指数。
Cancer. 1950 Jan;3(1):32-5. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(1950)3:1<32::aid-cncr2820030106>3.0.co;2-3.
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The threshold approach to clinical decision making.临床决策的阈值方法。
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Index for rating predictive accuracy of screening tests.筛查试验预测准确性的评级指数。
Methods Inf Med. 1982 Jul;21(3):149-53.
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[Predictive value of diagnostic procedures].[诊断程序的预测价值]
Dtsch Med Wochenschr. 1982 Apr 16;107(15):591-5. doi: 10.1055/s-2008-1069984.
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Assessment of diagnostic tests.诊断试验的评估
Bull Cancer. 1980;67(4):376-83.
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The assessment of diagnostic tests. A survey of current medical research.诊断试验的评估。当前医学研究综述。
JAMA. 1984 Nov 2;252(17):2418-22.
8
The predictive factor--a method to simplify Bayes' formula and its application to diagnostic procedures.预测因子——一种简化贝叶斯公式的方法及其在诊断程序中的应用。
Klin Wochenschr. 1984 Jun 15;62(12):586-92. doi: 10.1007/BF01728177.
9
Predictive value of a single diagnostic test in unselected populations.未经过筛选的人群中单一诊断测试的预测价值。
N Engl J Med. 1966 May 26;274(21):1171-3. doi: 10.1056/NEJM196605262742104.
10
[Mathematical statistical principles of diagnosis].[诊断的数理统计原理]
Klin Wochenschr. 1967 Nov 1;45(21):1065-72. doi: 10.1007/BF01754035.