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单峰骆驼体重估计方程的比较。

Comparison of body weight estimation equations for camels (Camelus dromedarius).

作者信息

Boujenane Ismaïl

机构信息

Department of Animal Production and Biotechnology, Institut Agronomique et Vétérinaire Hassan II, PO Box 6202, Rabat-Instituts, 10101, Rabat, Morocco.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2019 May;51(4):1003-1007. doi: 10.1007/s11250-018-1771-8. Epub 2018 Dec 11.

Abstract

The objective of the present study was to evaluate the accuracy of six different equations for weight estimation of camels using body measurements as chest girth, height at withers, and hump girth in order to identify the most reliable equation for use in the field. The prediction equations that were compared were those of Boué Revue d'Élevage et de Médecine vétérinaire des Pays tropicaux 3 (1), 13-16, 1949; Graber Revue d'Élevage et de Médecine vétérinaire des Pays tropicaux, 19, 527-543, 1966; Wilson Tropical Animal Health and Production, 10, 19-25, 1978; Field Proceedings of the Khartoum workshop on camels V1, 209-230, 1979; Bucci et al. Indian Veterinary Journal, 61, 26-30, 1984; and Yagil A Handbook for Camel Breeding, 1994 noticed as BW1, BW2, BW3, BW4, BW5, and BW6, respectively. The dataset used for this evaluation is the one published by Boué Revue d'Élevage et de Médecine vétérinaire des Pays tropicaux 3 (1), 13-16, 1949. Range observed in predicted weight, mean prediction error (MPE), residual mean square (MSE), mean square prediction error (MSPE), coefficient of determination (CD), and concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) were used to assess the different body weight prediction equations. Moreover, paired t tests were applied to compare the true weight and each of the six predicted weights. From the six prediction equations, range observed in predicted weights varied from 193 to 237 kg, MSE from 335.5 to 806.1, MPE from - 129.8 to 24.7 kg, MSPE from 329.4 to 17,617.1, CD from 0.753 to 0.867, and CCC from 0.162 to 0.928. BW4 presented the best prediction results, showing a low MSE, high CD and CCC, whereas BW3 yielded the least accurate estimate of body weight and had weak statistics. The study concluded that BW4 is the most reliable of all equations to estimate camel's body weight, whereas BW3 is less reliable and its use must be discontinued.

摘要

本研究的目的是评估六种不同的利用胸围、肩峰高度和驼峰围度等身体测量数据来估算骆驼体重的方程的准确性,以便确定在野外使用的最可靠方程。所比较的预测方程分别是布埃(Boué)于1949年发表在《热带国家畜牧与兽医杂志》第3卷第1期第13 - 16页的方程;格拉伯(Graber)于1966年发表在《热带国家畜牧与兽医杂志》第19卷第527 - 543页的方程;威尔逊(Wilson)于1978年发表在《热带动物健康与生产》第10卷第19 - 25页的方程;1979年喀土穆骆驼研讨会论文集第一卷第209 - 230页的方程;布奇(Bucci)等人于1984年发表在《印度兽医杂志》第61卷第26 - 30页的方程;以及亚吉尔(Yagil)于1994年出版的《骆驼养殖手册》中的方程,分别记为BW1、BW2、BW3、BW4、BW5和BW6。用于此次评估的数据集是布埃于1949年发表在《热带国家畜牧与兽医杂志》第3卷第1期第13 - 16页的那个数据集。通过预测体重的观测范围、平均预测误差(MPE)、残差均方(MSE)、平均平方预测误差(MSPE)、决定系数(CD)和一致性相关系数(CCC)来评估不同的体重预测方程。此外,应用配对t检验来比较真实体重与六个预测体重中的每一个。在这六个预测方程中,预测体重的观测范围从193千克到237千克不等,MSE从335.5到806.1,MPE从 - 129.8千克到24.7千克,MSPE从329.4到17617.1,CD从0.753到0.867,CCC从0.162到0.928。BW4呈现出最佳的预测结果,具有较低的MSE、较高的CD和CCC,而BW3对体重的估计最不准确且统计数据较弱。该研究得出结论,BW4是所有方程中估算骆驼体重最可靠的方程,而BW3可靠性较低,必须停止使用。

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