Business School, Hunan University, Yuelu South Road, Changsha, 410082, Hunan Province, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Feb;26(4):4000-4012. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-3921-y. Epub 2018 Dec 14.
Although the Chinese government emphasizes the significance of public transportation development and encourages green travel, no empirical study has examined whether the expansion of public transportation facilitates the mitigation of carbon emissions. To this end, we employ a panel quantile regression to test the endogenous relationship between public transportation scale and carbon emissions. The results suggest that the effect of public transportation scale on carbon emissions is heterogeneous across China's provinces based on the level of carbon emissions. Even so, the results still support a stable inverted U-shaped relationship between public transportation scale and carbon emissions for provinces with different levels of carbon emissions. That is, when public transportation scale exceeds a threshold value, the relationship between public transportation and carbon emissions will turn from positive to negative. Our findings provide evidence advocating for public transportation development and green travel. It is of great significance for China to respond to climate changes.
虽然中国政府强调发展公共交通和鼓励绿色出行的重要性,但没有实证研究检验公共交通的扩张是否有助于减少碳排放。为此,我们采用面板分位数回归来检验公共交通规模与碳排放之间的内生关系。结果表明,基于碳排放水平,公共交通规模对碳排放的影响在中国各省份之间存在异质性。即便如此,结果仍然支持不同碳排放水平省份的公共交通规模与碳排放之间存在稳定的倒 U 型关系。也就是说,当公共交通规模超过某个阈值时,公共交通与碳排放之间的关系将由正转负。我们的研究结果为公共交通发展和绿色出行提供了支持。这对于中国应对气候变化具有重要意义。