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一种改进的临床模型,用于预测近期发病 1 型糖尿病患儿的刺激 C 肽。

An improved clinical model to predict stimulated C-peptide in children with recent-onset type 1 diabetes.

机构信息

The University of Queensland, Diamantina Institute, Translational Research Institute, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

Queensland Children's Hospital, Department of Paediatric Endocrinology, Queensland Children's Hospital, South Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.

出版信息

Pediatr Diabetes. 2019 Mar;20(2):166-171. doi: 10.1111/pedi.12808. Epub 2019 Jan 8.

DOI:10.1111/pedi.12808
PMID:30556344
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Stimulated C-peptide measurement after a mixed meal tolerance test (MMTT) is the accepted gold standard for assessing residual beta-cell function in type 1 diabetes (T1D); however, this approach is impractical outside of clinical trials.

OBJECTIVE

To develop an improved estimate of residual beta-cell function in children with T1D using commonly measured clinical variables.

SUBJECTS/METHODS: A clinical model to predict 90-minute MMTT stimulated C-peptide in children with recent-onset T1D was developed from the combined AbATE, START, and TIDAL placebo subjects (n = 46) 6 months post-recruitment using multiple linear regression. This model was then validated in a clinical cohort (Hvidoere study group, n = 262).

RESULTS

A model of estimated C-peptide at 6 months post-diagnosis, which included age, gender, body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and insulin dose predicted 90-minute stimulated C-peptide measurements (adjusted R  = 0.63, P < 0.0001). The predictive value of insulin dose and HbA1c alone (IDAA1c) for 90-minute stimulated C-peptide was significantly lower (R 0.37, P < 0.0001). The slopes of linear regression lines of the estimated and stimulated 90-minute C-peptide levels obtained at 6 and 12 months post diagnosis in the Hvidoere clinical cohort were R  = 0.36, P < 0.0001 at 6 months and R  = 0.37, P < 0.0001 at 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

A clinical model including age, gender, BMI, HbA1c, and insulin dose predicts stimulated C-peptide levels in children with recent-onset T1D. Estimated C-peptide is an improved surrogate to monitor residual beta-cell function outside clinical trial settings.

摘要

背景

混合餐耐量试验(MMTT)后刺激 C 肽的测量是评估 1 型糖尿病(T1D)患者残余β细胞功能的公认金标准;然而,这种方法在临床试验之外是不切实际的。

目的

使用常用的临床变量在 T1D 儿童中开发一种改进的残余β细胞功能估计方法。

受试者/方法:使用多元线性回归,从 AbATE、START 和 TIDAL 安慰剂受试者(n=46)发病后 6 个月的合并数据中建立了一个用于预测近期发病的 T1D 儿童 90 分钟 MMTT 刺激 C 肽的临床模型。然后在一个临床队列(Hvidoere 研究组,n=262)中进行验证。

结果

一个包括年龄、性别、体重指数(BMI)、糖化血红蛋白(HbA1c)和胰岛素剂量的模型,可预测诊断后 6 个月的估计 C 肽(调整 R  = 0.63,P < 0.0001)。单独使用胰岛素剂量和 HbA1c(IDAA1c)预测 90 分钟刺激 C 肽的预测值显著较低(R 0.37,P < 0.0001)。在 Hvidoere 临床队列中,诊断后 6 个月和 12 个月获得的估计和刺激 90 分钟 C 肽水平的线性回归线斜率为 R  = 0.36,P < 0.0001,在 6 个月时为 R  = 0.37,P < 0.0001。

结论

包括年龄、性别、BMI、HbA1c 和胰岛素剂量的临床模型可预测近期发病的 T1D 患者的刺激 C 肽水平。估计的 C 肽是监测临床试验以外残余β细胞功能的一种改进的替代方法。

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