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中国严寒地区室内外颗粒物浓度的多元预测模型及暴露水平研究。

Study on the multivariate prediction model and exposure level of indoor and outdoor particulate concentration in severe cold region of China.

机构信息

College of Civil Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.

College of Civil Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China.

出版信息

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2019 Apr 15;170:708-715. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2018.12.031. Epub 2018 Dec 20.

Abstract

Atmospheric particulate matter( PM, PM) has been the main pollutant in most cities of China in recent years, and the exposure concentration is related to the incidence of human diseases and mortality. The time spent indoors is more than 80% for modern people. Therefore, study on the correlation and exposure level of indoor and outdoor atmospheric particles is important. To research the exposure level in the heating season and non-heating season of indoor and outdoor particulate concentration in severe cold region of China, a total of 110 samples of four types of buildings (office, classroom, urban residence and rural residence) in Daqing, a typical city of severe cold region in China, were tested by particle monitor. Based on the indoor and outdoor environmental parameters, multiple linear regression (MLR) and principal component regression (PCR), established the indoor particulate concentration prediction models. The short and long term exposure of different people in different environments in severe cold region of China was analyzed based on the people's time-activity pattern with the measured data and model. The results showed that as for the short term indoor and outdoor exposure of different people, the average combined exposure of urban people in heating season is 60.0% higher than that in non-heating season, and rural people in heating season 30.2% higher than that in non-heating season. As for the long term indoor and outdoor exposure of different people, the annual average combined exposure of urban people was 9.6% higher than that of rural people. While all for urban and rural people, differences in respiratory rates between genders resulted in an average potential dose of 21. 8% higher in male than in female.

摘要

大气颗粒物(PM)是近年来中国大多数城市的主要污染物,暴露浓度与人类疾病发病率和死亡率有关。现代人在室内度过的时间超过 80%。因此,研究室内外大气颗粒物的相关性和暴露水平非常重要。为了研究中国严寒地区采暖季和非采暖季室内外颗粒物浓度的暴露水平,在中国典型严寒地区大庆市的四种类型建筑物(办公室、教室、城市住宅和农村住宅)共采集了 110 个颗粒物监测样本。基于室内外环境参数,采用多元线性回归(MLR)和主成分回归(PCR)建立了室内颗粒物浓度预测模型。根据实测数据和模型,基于不同人群的时间活动模式,分析了严寒地区不同人群在不同环境中的短期和长期暴露情况。结果表明,对于不同人群的短期室内外暴露,采暖季城市人群的平均综合暴露比非采暖季高 60.0%,而采暖季农村人群的平均综合暴露比非采暖季高 30.2%。对于不同人群的长期室内外暴露,城市人群的年平均综合暴露比农村人群高 9.6%。而对于城市和农村人群来说,由于呼吸率的性别差异,男性的平均潜在剂量比女性高 21.8%。

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