Circulation. 2019 Jun 18;139(25):e1162-e1177. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000638. Epub 2018 Nov 10.
Risk assessment is a critical step in the current approach to primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Knowledge of the 10-year risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease identifies patients in higher-risk groups who are likely to have greater net benefit and lower number needed to treat for both statins and antihypertensive therapy. Current US prevention guidelines for blood pressure and cholesterol management recommend use of the pooled cohort equations to start a process of shared decision-making between clinicians and patients in primary prevention. The pooled cohort equations have been widely validated and are broadly useful for the general US clinical population. But, they may systematically underestimate risk in patients from certain racial/ethnic groups, those with lower socioeconomic status or with chronic inflammatory diseases, and overestimate risk in patients with higher socioeconomic status or who have been closely engaged with preventive healthcare services. If uncertainty remains for patients at borderline or intermediate risk, or if the patient is undecided after a patient-clinician discussion with consideration of risk enhancing factors (eg, family history), additional testing with measurement of coronary artery calcium can be useful to reclassify risk estimates and improve selection of patients for use or avoidance of statin therapy. This special report summarizes the rationale and evidence base for quantitative risk assessment, reviews strengths and limitations of existing risk scores, discusses approaches for refining individual risk estimates for patients, and provides practical advice regarding implementation of risk assessment and decision-making strategies in clinical practice.
风险评估是目前动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病一级预防方法中的关键步骤。了解动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病的 10 年风险,可以识别出处于高风险组的患者,他们可能从他汀类药物和降压治疗中获得更大的净获益和更低的治疗人数。目前美国的血压和胆固醇管理预防指南建议使用汇总队列方程,以在一级预防中启动临床医生和患者之间的共同决策过程。汇总队列方程已经得到了广泛的验证,对于美国普通临床人群具有广泛的适用性。但是,它们可能会系统地低估某些种族/民族群体、社会经济地位较低或患有慢性炎症性疾病的患者的风险,以及高估社会经济地位较高或一直积极参与预防保健服务的患者的风险。如果患者处于边缘或中等风险,或者在考虑了风险增强因素(例如家族史)后,患者与临床医生讨论后仍然存在不确定性,或者患者犹豫不决,那么可以使用冠状动脉钙测量等额外测试来重新分类风险估计值,并改善患者对他汀类药物治疗的选择。本特别报告总结了定量风险评估的基本原理和证据基础,回顾了现有风险评分的优缺点,讨论了为患者个体化风险估计值进行精细化调整的方法,并就风险评估和决策策略在临床实践中的实施提供了实用建议。
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