Department of Geography, Complutense University of Madrid, Spain.
Department of Geography, Autonomous University of Madrid, Spain.
J Environ Manage. 2019 Mar 1;233:427-439. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.12.066. Epub 2018 Dec 25.
Fire scenarios are multiscale land-type planning units for a fire regime with different applications at national, regional, and local scales. The main aim of this research is to implement a methodology integrating landscape dynamics and wildfire risk from a context-specific approach, to identify current fire scenarios at a regional scale in the Spanish Central Mountain Range. These homogeneous areas are linked to different stages of a territorial dynamics model called wildfire generations and related to land use diversity and land management trends. A place-based methodology has been developed to characterize fire scenarios using Geographic Information Systems and statistical analysis, resulting in analytical and diagnostic mapping that can be used as a decision support tool for spatial planning and wildfire risk management. Its implementation has led to the delimitation of 91 discrete geographic units in the Central Mountain Range, classified according to wildfire generations and land use-land cover criteria. In conclusion, the fire scenarios concept is a potential approach to manage uncertainty by moving from the operational level of fire suppression to the strategic level of integrated fire management.
火灾情景是具有不同国家、地区和地方应用的火灾制度的多尺度土地类型规划单元。本研究的主要目的是实施一种方法，将景观动态和野火风险从特定背景的方法集成起来，以确定西班牙中央山脉地区的当前火灾情景。这些同质区域与一个称为野火世代的领土动态模型的不同阶段相关联，与土地利用多样性和土地管理趋势有关。已经开发了一种基于地点的方法来使用地理信息系统和统计分析来描述火灾情景，从而生成可以用作空间规划和野火风险管理决策支持工具的分析和诊断地图。其实施导致在中央山脉划定了 91 个离散的地理单元，根据野火世代和土地利用/土地覆盖标准进行分类。总之，火灾情景的概念是一种通过从灭火的操作层面转移到综合火灾管理的战略层面来管理不确定性的潜在方法。
