中国西昌吸毒者患病率的调查与估算
Investigation and estimation of the prevalence of drug addicts in Xichang, china.
作者信息
Chen Kejin, Bian Chaorong, Song Benli, Gao Ge
机构信息
Changzhou Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital, Changzhou.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, 199 Renai Road, Industrial Park, China.
出版信息
Medicine (Baltimore). 2019 Jan;98(1):e13919. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000013919.
To use a new method to estimate the prevalence of drug addicts in Xichang for the first time and to suggest that Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention should strengthen surveillance and intervention for them.The Capture-Mark-Recapture (CMR) method of 3 correlated sources under the simple random sampling and its formulas detailed in this paper were applied to a survey of issues relevant to drug addicts in Xichang, China.To view half a year as reacquisition time, the prevalence of drug users in Xichang could be 5264 in 2014, accounting for 0.7% of the resident population of the same year.This investigation method and its formulas studied in this paper have both high reliability and high validity, being worthy of promotion in terms of estimating the prevalence of drug addicts in other parts of the world.
首次采用新方法估算西昌市吸毒者的患病率，并建议中国疾病预防控制中心加强对他们的监测和干预。本文将简单随机抽样下3个相关来源的捕获-标记-再捕获（CMR）方法及其详细公式应用于中国西昌市与吸毒者相关问题的调查。以半年为重新获取时间，2014年西昌市吸毒者患病率可能为5264人，占同年常住人口的0.7%。本文研究的这种调查方法及其公式具有高可靠性和高效度，在估算世界其他地区吸毒者患病率方面值得推广。
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