Children's of Alabama, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Holtz Children's Hospital, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
Pediatr Res. 2019 Feb;85(3):329-338. doi: 10.1038/s41390-018-0249-8. Epub 2018 Dec 13.
Neonates with serum creatinine (SCr) rise ≥0.3 mg/dL and/or ≥50% SCr rise are more likely to die, even when controlling for confounders. These thresholds have not been tested in newborns. We hypothesized that different gestational age (GA) groups require different SCr thresholds.
Neonates in Assessment of Worldwide Acute Kidney Epidemiology in Neonates (AWAKEN) with ≥1 SCr on postnatal days 1-2 and ≥1 SCr on postnatal days 3-8 were assessed. We compared the mortality predictability of SCr absolute (≥0.3 mg/dL) vs percent (≥50%) rise. Next, we determine usefulness of combining absolute with percent rise. Finally, we determined the optimal absolute, percent, and maximum SCr thresholds that provide the highest mortality area under curve (AUC) and specificity for different GA groups.
The ≥0.3 mg/dL rise outperformed ≥50% SCr rise. Addition of percent rise did not improve mortality predictability. The optimal SCr thresholds to predict AUC and specificity were ≥0.3 and ≥0.6 mg/dL for ≤29 weeks GA, and ≥0.1 and ≥0.3 mg/dL for >29 week GA. The maximum SCr value provides great specificity.
Unique SCr rise cutoffs for different GA improves outcome prediction. Percent SCr rise does not add value to the neonatal AKI definition.
血清肌酐(SCr)升高≥0.3mg/dL 和/或 SCr 升高≥50%的新生儿更有可能死亡,即使在控制混杂因素后也是如此。这些阈值尚未在新生儿中进行过测试。我们假设不同胎龄(GA)组需要不同的 SCr 阈值。
在评估全世界新生儿急性肾损伤流行病学(AWAKEN)中,对≥1 个在生后第 1-2 天和≥1 个在生后第 3-8 天的 SCr 的新生儿进行评估。我们比较了 SCr 绝对值(≥0.3mg/dL)与百分比(≥50%)升高的死亡率预测能力。接下来,我们确定了绝对升高与百分比升高相结合的有用性。最后,我们确定了不同 GA 组提供最高死亡率曲线下面积(AUC)和特异性的最佳绝对、百分比和最大 SCr 阈值。
SCr 升高≥0.3mg/dL 优于 SCr 升高≥50%。百分比升高的增加并不能提高死亡率的预测能力。预测 AUC 和特异性的最佳 SCr 阈值为≤29 周 GA 的≥0.3 和≥0.6mg/dL,以及>29 周 GA 的≥0.1 和≥0.3mg/dL。最大 SCr 值提供了很好的特异性。
不同 GA 的独特 SCr 升高截止值可改善预后预测。百分比 SCr 升高对新生儿 AKI 定义没有价值。