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独居与全因和心血管死亡率相关:哥本哈根男性研究 32 年随访。

Living alone is associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: 32 years of follow-up in the Copenhagen Male Study.

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Copenhagen University Hospital Herlev-Gentofte, Kildegaardsvej 28, Hellerup, Denmark.

The Copenhagen Male Study, Epidemiological Research Unit, Department of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, Bispebjerg University Hospital, Lersø Parkallé 105, Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. 2019 Jul 1;5(3):208-217. doi: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcz004.

Abstract

AIMS

As a consequence of modern urban life, an increasing number of individuals are living alone. Living alone may have potential adverse health implications. The long-term relationship between living alone and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, however, remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants from The Copenhagen Male Study were included in 1985-86 and information about conventional behavioural, psychosocial, and environmental risk factors were collected. Socioeconomic position (SEP) was categorized into four groups. Multivariable Cox-regression models were performed with follow-up through the Danish National Registries. A total of 3346 men were included, mean (standard deviation) age 62.9 (5.2) years. During 32.2 years of follow-up, 89.4% of the population died and 38.9% of cardiovascular causes. Living alone (9.6%) was a significant predictor of mortality. Multivariable risk estimates were [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval)] 1.23 (1.09-1.39), P = 0.001 for all-cause mortality and 1.36 (1.13-1.63), P = 0.001 for cardiovascular mortality. Mortality risk was modified by SEP. Thus, there was no association in the highest SEP but for all other SEP categories, e.g. highest SEP for all-cause mortality 1.01 (0.7-1.39), P = 0.91 and 0.94 (0.6-1.56), P = 0.80 for cardiovascular mortality; lowest SEP 1.58 (1.16-2.19), P = 0.004 for all-cause mortality and 1.87 (1.20-2.90), P = 0.005 for cardiovascular mortality. Excluding participants dying within 5 years of inclusion (n = 274) did not change estimates, suggesting a minimal influence of reverse causation.

CONCLUSIONS

Living alone was an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality with more than three decades of follow-up. Individuals in middle- and lower SEPs were at particular risk. Health policy initiatives should target these high-risk individuals.

摘要

目的

由于现代城市生活的影响,越来越多的人选择独居。独居可能对健康产生潜在的不利影响。然而,长期独居与全因和心血管死亡率之间的关系尚不清楚。

方法和结果

本研究纳入了 1985-1986 年参加哥本哈根男性研究的参与者,并收集了有关传统行为、心理社会和环境风险因素的信息。社会经济地位(SEP)分为四组。使用丹麦国家登记处的数据进行多变量 Cox 回归模型分析,随访时间为 32.2 年。共纳入 3346 名男性,平均(标准差)年龄为 62.9(5.2)岁。在 32.2 年的随访期间,89.4%的人群死亡,38.9%死于心血管疾病。独居(9.6%)是死亡率的显著预测因素。多变量风险估计值为[危险比(95%置信区间)]全因死亡率为 1.23(1.09-1.39),P=0.001;心血管死亡率为 1.36(1.13-1.63),P=0.001。死亡率风险由 SEP 修饰。因此,在最高 SEP 组中没有关联,但对于所有其他 SEP 类别,例如最高 SEP 组的全因死亡率为 1.01(0.7-1.39),P=0.91;心血管死亡率为 0.94(0.6-1.56),P=0.80;最低 SEP 组的全因死亡率为 1.58(1.16-2.19),P=0.004;心血管死亡率为 1.87(1.20-2.90),P=0.005。排除纳入后 5 年内死亡的参与者(n=274)不会改变估计值,这表明反向因果关系的影响很小。

结论

独居是全因和心血管死亡率的独立危险因素,随访时间超过 30 年。中低 SEP 的个体风险尤其高。卫生政策倡议应针对这些高风险个体。

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