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基于递归神经网络的动态系统多步预测。

Multistep Prediction of Dynamic Systems With Recurrent Neural Networks.

出版信息

IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst. 2019 Nov;30(11):3370-3383. doi: 10.1109/TNNLS.2019.2891257. Epub 2019 Jan 31.

DOI:10.1109/TNNLS.2019.2891257
PMID:30714932
Abstract

In this paper, we address the state initialization problem in recurrent neural networks (RNNs), which seeks proper values for the RNN initial states at the beginning of a prediction interval. The proposed methods employ various forms of neural networks (NNs) to generate proper initial state values for RNNs. A variety of RNNs are trained using the proposed NN initialization schemes for modeling two aerial vehicles, a helicopter and a quadrotor, from experimental data. It is shown that the RNN initialized by the NN-based initialization method outperforms the washout method which is commonly used to initialize RNNs. Furthermore, a comprehensive study of RNNs trained for multistep prediction of the two aerial vehicles is presented. The multistep prediction of the quadrotor is enhanced using a hybrid model, which combines a simplified physics-based motion model of the vehicle with RNNs. While the maximum translational and rotational velocities in the Quadrotor data set are about 4 m/s and 3.8 rad/s, respectively, the hybrid model produces predictions, over 1.9 s, which remain within 9 cm/s and 0.12 rad/s of the measured translational and rotational velocities, with 99% confidence on the test data set.

摘要

在本文中,我们解决了递归神经网络(RNN)中的状态初始化问题,即在预测区间开始时为 RNN 的初始状态寻找合适的值。所提出的方法使用各种形式的神经网络(NN)为 RNN 生成合适的初始状态值。使用所提出的 NN 初始化方案对两种飞行器,直升机和四旋翼飞行器的实验数据进行了多种 RNN 的训练。结果表明,由基于 NN 的初始化方法初始化的 RNN 优于通常用于初始化 RNN 的冲洗方法。此外,还对用于两种飞行器多步预测的 RNN 进行了全面研究。使用混合模型增强了四旋翼飞行器的多步预测,该模型将车辆的简化基于物理的运动模型与 RNN 相结合。虽然 Quadrotor 数据集的最大平移和旋转速度分别约为 4 m/s 和 3.8 rad/s,但混合模型在 1.9 秒以上的预测中,平移和旋转速度仍保持在测量值的 9 cm/s 和 0.12 rad/s 以内,在测试数据集上的置信度为 99%。

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