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互惠与非互惠贸易协定:哪一种最有利于促进出口?

Reciprocal vs nonreciprocal trade agreements: Which have been best to promote exports?

机构信息

Department of Applied Economics II, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 Feb 4;14(2):e0210446. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0210446. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

The Doha Development Agenda recognizes the central role that international trade can play in the promotion of economic development. In fact, the increase of exports from developing countries to developed nations' markets has been considered a key element for developing countries to realize the potential benefits of globalization. Over the last decades, developed countries have provided preferential access to their markets to developing countries through nonreciprocal trade agreements. Moreover, developing countries have also participated in reciprocal trade agreements. This paper re-examines comparatively the effect of both kinds of trade agreements on exports from developing countries but also from the developed world. In line with other studies, our results across specifications are unstable. However, the results of our preferred specification give additional support to the argument raised by critics of nonreciprocal preference regimes who consider that developing countries should abandon their reliance on one-way trade preferences in favor of reciprocal agreements.

摘要

多哈发展议程承认国际贸易在促进经济发展方面可以发挥核心作用。事实上,发展中国家向发达国家市场出口的增加被认为是发展中国家实现全球化潜在利益的关键因素。在过去几十年中,发达国家通过非互惠贸易协定为发展中国家进入其市场提供了优惠待遇。此外,发展中国家也参与了互惠贸易协定。本文重新比较了这两种贸易协定对发展中国家出口以及发达国家出口的影响。与其他研究结果一致,我们的结果在不同规格下并不稳定。然而,我们首选规格的结果为非互惠优惠制度批评者提出的论点提供了额外的支持,他们认为发展中国家应该放弃对单向贸易优惠的依赖,转而支持互惠协定。

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