AGIR, INRA, Université de Toulouse, INPT, INP-EI Purpan, Castanet-Tolosan, France.
School of Integrative Plant Science, Cornell University, Cornell AgriTech at The New York State Agricultural Experiment Station, Geneva, NY, USA.
Nat Ecol Evol. 2019 Mar;3(3):430-439. doi: 10.1038/s41559-018-0793-y. Epub 2019 Feb 4.
Crop pathogens and pests reduce the yield and quality of agricultural production. They cause substantial economic losses and reduce food security at household, national and global levels. Quantitative, standardized information on crop losses is difficult to compile and compare across crops, agroecosystems and regions. Here, we report on an expert-based assessment of crop health, and provide numerical estimates of yield losses on an individual pathogen and pest basis for five major crops globally and in food security hotspots. Our results document losses associated with 137 pathogens and pests associated with wheat, rice, maize, potato and soybean worldwide. Our yield loss (range) estimates at a global level and per hotspot for wheat (21.5% (10.1-28.1%)), rice (30.0% (24.6-40.9%)), maize (22.5% (19.5-41.1%)), potato (17.2% (8.1-21.0%)) and soybean (21.4% (11.0-32.4%)) suggest that the highest losses are associated with food-deficit regions with fast-growing populations, and frequently with emerging or re-emerging pests and diseases. Our assessment highlights differences in impacts among crop pathogens and pests and among food security hotspots. This analysis contributes critical information to prioritize crop health management to improve the sustainability of agroecosystems in delivering services to societies.
作物病原体和害虫会降低农业生产的产量和质量。它们会造成巨大的经济损失,并降低家庭、国家和全球层面的粮食安全。在不同作物、农业生态系统和地区之间,很难编制和比较关于作物损失的定量、标准化信息。在这里,我们根据专家评估报告提供了关于作物健康的信息,并提供了全球范围内五种主要作物和粮食安全热点地区的个别病原体和害虫导致的产量损失的数值估计。我们的研究结果记录了与全球范围内的小麦、水稻、玉米、马铃薯和大豆相关的 137 种病原体和害虫相关的损失。我们的全球水平和每个热点地区的产量损失(范围)估计值为:小麦(21.5%(10.1-28.1%))、水稻(30.0%(24.6-40.9%))、玉米(22.5%(19.5-41.1%))、马铃薯(17.2%(8.1-21.0%))和大豆(21.4%(11.0-32.4%)),表明最高的损失与人口快速增长的粮食短缺地区有关,并且经常与新出现或重新出现的病虫害有关。我们的评估突出了作物病原体和害虫之间以及粮食安全热点地区之间的影响差异。这项分析为优先考虑作物健康管理提供了关键信息,以提高农业生态系统在向社会提供服务方面的可持续性。