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一种新型诊断列线图用于鉴别肠结核和克罗恩病的建立与验证:一项 6 年的前瞻性多中心研究。

Development and Validation of a Novel Diagnostic Nomogram to Differentiate Between Intestinal Tuberculosis and Crohn's Disease: A 6-year Prospective Multicenter Study.

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, People's Republic of China.

Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Am J Gastroenterol. 2019 Mar;114(3):490-499. doi: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000000064.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Differentiating Crohn's disease (CD) from intestinal tuberculosis (ITB) remains a diagnostic challenge. Misdiagnosis carries potential grave implications. We aimed to develop and validate a novel diagnostic nomogram for differentiating them.

METHODS

In total, 310 eligible patients were recruited from 6 tertiary inflammatory bowel disease centers. Among them, 212 consecutive patients (143 CD and 69 ITB) were used in the derivation cohort for the establishment of diagnostic equation and nomogram; 7 investigative modalities including clinical manifestations, laboratory results, endoscopic findings, computed tomography enterography features, and histology results were used to derive the diagnostic model and nomogram. Ninety-eight consecutive patients (76 CD and 22 ITB) were included for validation of the diagnostic model.

RESULTS

Eight out of total 79 parameters were identified as valuable parameters used for establishing diagnostic equations. Two regression models were built based on 7 differential variables: age, transverse ulcer, rectum involvement, skipped involvement of the small bowel, target sign, comb sign, and interferon-gamma release assays (for model 1) or purified protein derivative (for model 2), respectively. Accordingly, 2 nomograms of the above 2 models were developed for clinical practical use, respectively. Further validation test verified the efficacy of the nomogram 1 with 90.9% specificity, 86.8% sensitivity, 97.1% PPV, 66.7% negative predictive value (NPV), and 87.8% accuracy for identifying CD, and the efficacy of the nomogram 2 with 100% specificity, 84.2% sensitivity, 100% positive predictive value, 64.7% NPV, and 87.8% accuracy for diagnosing CD.

CONCLUSIONS

The derivation and validation cohorts identified and validated 2 highly accurate and practical diagnostic nomograms for differentiating CD from ITB. These diagnostic nomograms can be conveniently used to identify some difficult CD or ITB cases, allowing for decision-making in a clinical setting.

摘要

目的

鉴别克罗恩病(CD)和肠结核(ITB)仍然是一个诊断挑战。误诊可能带来严重后果。我们旨在开发和验证一种新的鉴别诊断列线图。

方法

共纳入来自 6 家三级炎症性肠病中心的 310 例符合条件的患者。其中,212 例连续患者(143 例 CD 和 69 例 ITB)用于推导队列建立诊断方程和列线图;7 种诊断方法包括临床表现、实验室结果、内镜检查结果、计算机断层扫描肠造影特征和组织学结果,用于推导诊断模型和列线图。纳入 98 例连续患者(76 例 CD 和 22 例 ITB)验证诊断模型。

结果

在总共 79 个参数中,有 8 个参数被确定为建立诊断方程的有价值参数。基于 7 个鉴别变量建立了两个回归模型:年龄、横向溃疡、直肠受累、小肠跳跃受累、靶征、梳状征和干扰素-γ释放试验(模型 1)或纯化蛋白衍生物(模型 2)。相应地,分别为上述两个模型开发了两个列线图,用于临床实用。进一步验证试验验证了列线图 1 的疗效,特异性为 90.9%,敏感性为 86.8%,阳性预测值(PPV)为 97.1%,阴性预测值(NPV)为 66.7%,诊断 CD 的准确性为 87.8%;列线图 2 的疗效为特异性为 100%,敏感性为 84.2%,PPV 为 100%,NPV 为 64.7%,诊断 CD 的准确性为 87.8%。

结论

推导和验证队列确定并验证了 2 种用于鉴别 CD 和 ITB 的高度准确和实用的诊断列线图。这些诊断列线图可方便地用于识别一些困难的 CD 或 ITB 病例,为临床决策提供依据。

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