Department of Family Medicine, School Caphri, Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands.
Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
PLoS One. 2019 Feb 12;14(2):e0212046. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0212046. eCollection 2019.
The aim of this paper was to describe the time trends in the prevalence of multimorbidity and polypharmacy in Flanders (Belgium) between 2000 and 2015, while controlling for age and sex.
Data were available from Intego, a Flemish-Belgian general practice-based morbidity registration network. The practice population between 2000 and 2015 was used as the denominator, representing a mean of 159,946 people per year. Age and gender-standardised prevalence rates were used for the trends of multimorbidity and polypharmacy in the total population and for subgroups. Joinpoint regression analyses were used to analyse the time trends and breaks in trends, for the entire population as well as for specific age and sex groups.
Overall, in 2015, 22.7% of the population had multimorbidity, while the overall prevalence of polypharmacy was 20%. Throughout the study period the standardised prevalence rate of multimorbidity rose for both sexes and in all age groups. The largest relative increase in multimorbidity was observed in the younger age groups (up to the age of 50 years). The prevalence of polypharmacy showed a significant increase between 2000 and 2015 for all age groups except the youngest (0-25 years).
For all adult age groups multimorbidity and polypharmacy are frequent, dynamic over time and increasing. This asks for both epidemiological and interventional studies to improve the management of the resulting complex care.
本文旨在描述 2000 年至 2015 年期间,在控制年龄和性别因素的情况下,弗拉芒(比利时)地区多种疾病共病和多种药物并用的流行趋势。
数据来源于 Intego,一个弗拉芒-比利时的基于一般实践的发病登记网络。2000 年至 2015 年期间的实践人群被用作分母,代表每年平均 159946 人。年龄和性别标准化患病率用于分析总人口以及亚组中多种疾病共病和多种药物并用的趋势。Joinpoint 回归分析用于分析整个人群以及特定年龄和性别组的时间趋势和趋势变化点。
总体而言,2015 年,22.7%的人口患有多种疾病,而多种药物并用的总体患病率为 20%。在整个研究期间,男女两性和所有年龄组的标准化共病患病率均有所上升。在年龄较小的人群(0-50 岁)中,多种疾病共病的相对增长最大。除了最年轻的人群(0-25 岁)外,所有年龄组的多种药物并用患病率在 2000 年至 2015 年间均呈显著上升趋势。
对于所有成年年龄组,多种疾病共病和多种药物并用都很常见,且随时间动态变化,呈上升趋势。这就需要进行流行病学和干预研究,以改善由此产生的复杂护理管理。