Oliveira Pedro, Zagalo Joana, Madeira Nuno, Neves Orquídia
Psychiatry Department. Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra. Coimbra; Institute of Psychological Medicine. Faculty of Medicine. University of Coimbra. Coimbra. Portugal.
Family Health Unit "CelaSaúde". Regional Health Administration of Central Portugal. Coimbra. Portugal.
Acta Med Port. 2019 Feb 1;32(1):47-52. doi: 10.20344/amp.10744.
Lithium can be found naturally in drinking water. There is some evidence that natural levels of lithium in drinking water may have a protective effect on suicide mortality. The aim of this study is to evaluate if higher natural concentrations of lithium in public drinking water are associated with lower local rates of suicide in Portugal.
Suicide standardized mortality ratios at 54 Portuguese municipalities within the 6-year period from 2011 to 2016 was correlated with lithium concentrations in public drinking water and socioeconomic factors using Pearson's correlation coefficients (r) with one-tailed tests. Multivariate regression models were adjusted for well-known socioeconomic factors known to influence suicide mortality in Portugal (population density, average income per capita, unemployment rates and proportion of Roman Catholics).
The average lithium level, as evidenced by raw values for 54 municipalities, was 10.88 μg/L (standard deviation = 27.18). There was no statistically significant correlation between lithium levels and suicide standardized mortality ratio (r = 0.001, p-value = 0.996). There was a statistically significant higher suicide standardized mortality ratio for males (p-value = 0.000). When analyzed separately for both sexes, no statistically significant correlation between suicide standardized mortality ratio and lithium levels was found (male r = 0.024, p-value = 0.862; female r = 0.000, p-value = 0.999). No association between suicide standardized mortality ratio and socioeconomic factors was found: population density (r = -0.144, p-value = 0.300), average income per capita (r = -0.112, p-value = 0.418), unemployment rates (r = -0.001, p-value = 0.994), and proportion of Roman Catholics (r =- 0.150, p-value = 0.278).
Unlike most international studies regarding natural lithium levels and suicide risk, no inverse relation was found in Portugal. Factors such as the country's low suicide rate, confunding suicide risk variables, and unaccounted lithium intake might have influenced these findings.
No association between lithium in public drinking water and suicide rates was found in Portugal.
锂可天然存在于饮用水中。有证据表明,饮用水中天然的锂含量可能对自杀死亡率具有保护作用。本研究的目的是评估葡萄牙公共饮用水中较高的天然锂浓度是否与当地较低的自杀率相关。
使用Pearson相关系数(r)和单尾检验,将2011年至2016年6年期间葡萄牙54个城市的自杀标准化死亡率与公共饮用水中的锂浓度及社会经济因素进行关联分析。多元回归模型针对葡萄牙已知会影响自杀死亡率的社会经济因素(人口密度、人均平均收入、失业率和罗马天主教徒比例)进行了调整。
54个城市的原始数据显示,锂的平均水平为10.88μg/L(标准差=27.18)。锂水平与自杀标准化死亡率之间无统计学显著相关性(r=0.001,p值=0.996)。男性的自杀标准化死亡率在统计学上显著更高(p值=0.000)。按性别分别分析时,未发现自杀标准化死亡率与锂水平之间存在统计学显著相关性(男性r=0.024,p值=0.862;女性r=0.000,p值=0.999)。未发现自杀标准化死亡率与社会经济因素之间存在关联:人口密度(r=-0.144,p值=0.300)、人均平均收入(r=-0.112,p值=0.418)、失业率(r=-0.001,p值=0.994)和罗马天主教徒比例(r=-0.150,p值=0.278)。
与大多数关于天然锂水平和自杀风险的国际研究不同,在葡萄牙未发现反向关系。该国自杀率较低、自杀风险变量混淆以及未计入的锂摄入量等因素可能影响了这些研究结果。
在葡萄牙,未发现公共饮用水中的锂与自杀率之间存在关联。