Preece M A
Department of Growth and Development, Institute of Child Health, University of London, UK.
Acta Paediatr Scand Suppl. 1988;347:4-11.
The three commonly used methods of height prediction employ various combinations of anthropometric data and bone age. In normal children, the regression type methods are preferable, though they do not perform well in the more severe disorders of growth. They are extremely dependent upon the limitations of the method of bone age determination that is used. A major source of error is the inability to predict the timing or the intensity of the adolescent growth spurt. Until this proves possible it is unlikely that significant improvements can be made.
三种常用的身高预测方法采用了人体测量数据和骨龄的各种组合。对于正常儿童，回归类型的方法更可取，尽管它们在更严重的生长障碍中表现不佳。它们极度依赖所使用的骨龄测定方法的局限性。一个主要的误差来源是无法预测青春期生长突增的时间或强度。在证明这是可行之前，不太可能有显著的改进。
