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端粒长度与健康结局:观察性研究系统评价和荟萃分析的伞状综述。

Telomere length and health outcomes: An umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies.

机构信息

The Cambridge Centre for Sport and Exercise Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK.

Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Italy.

出版信息

Ageing Res Rev. 2019 May;51:1-10. doi: 10.1016/j.arr.2019.02.003. Epub 2019 Feb 15.

Abstract

The aim of the present study was to map and grade evidence for the relationships between telomere length with a diverse range of health outcomes, using an umbrella review of systematic reviews with meta-analyses. We searched for meta-analyses of observational studies reporting on the association of telomere length with any health outcome (clinical disease outcomes and intermediate traits). For each association, random-effects summary effect size, 95% confidence interval (CI), and 95% prediction interval were calculated. To evaluate the credibility of the identified evidence, we assessed also heterogeneity, evidence for small-study effect and evidence for excess significance bias. Twenty-one relevant meta-analyses were identified reporting on 50 different outcomes. The level of evidence was high only for the association of short telomeres with higher risk of gastric cancer in the general population (relative risk, RR = 1.95, 95%CI: 1.68-2.26), and moderate for the association of shorter telomeres with diabetes or with Alzheimer's disease, even if limited to meta-analyses of case-control studies. There was weak evidence for twenty outcomes and not significant association for 27 health outcomes. The present umbrella review demonstrates that shorter telomere length may have an important role in incidence gastric cancer and, probably, diabetes and Alzheimer's disease. At the same time, conversely to general assumptions, it does not find strong evidence supporting the notion that shorter telomere length plays an important role in many health outcomes that have been studied thus far.

摘要

本研究旨在通过对系统评价的伞式综述,绘制并评估端粒长度与多种健康结果之间关系的证据等级,这些系统评价均包含荟萃分析。我们检索了观察性研究的荟萃分析,这些研究报告了端粒长度与任何健康结果(临床疾病结果和中间特征)之间的关联。对于每种关联,我们计算了随机效应汇总效应大小、95%置信区间(CI)和 95%预测区间。为了评估所确定证据的可信度,我们还评估了异质性、小样本研究效应的证据和过度显著性偏差的证据。确定了 21 项相关的荟萃分析,报告了 50 种不同的结果。仅在一般人群中端粒较短与胃癌风险增加之间存在高等级证据(相对风险,RR=1.95,95%CI:1.68-2.26),而在端粒较短与糖尿病或阿尔茨海默病之间的关联中则存在中等等级证据,即使仅限于病例对照研究的荟萃分析也是如此。对于 20 种结果,证据较弱,对于 27 种健康结果,关联无统计学意义。本伞式综述表明,端粒较短可能在胃癌的发病中起重要作用,并且可能在糖尿病和阿尔茨海默病中起重要作用。同时,与普遍假设相反,它没有发现强有力的证据支持这样一种观点,即端粒较短在迄今为止研究过的许多健康结果中起重要作用。

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