Centre for Medical Decision Making, Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Department of Neurology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
PLoS One. 2019 Feb 20;14(2):e0211404. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0211404. eCollection 2019.
BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) pose specific challenges in rare and heterogeneous neurological diseases due to the small numbers of patients and heterogeneity in disease course. Two analytical approaches have been proposed to optimally handle these issues in RCTs: covariate adjustment and ordinal analysis. We investigated the potential gain in efficiency of these approaches in rare and heterogeneous neurological diseases, using Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) as an example. METHODS: We analyzed two published GBS trials with primary outcome 'at least one grade improvement' on the GBS disability scale. We estimated the treatment effect using logistic regression models with and without adjustment for prognostic factors. The difference between the unadjusted and adjusted estimates was disentangled in imbalance (random differences in baseline covariates between treatment arms) and stratification (change of the estimate due to covariate adjustment). Second, we applied proportional odds regression, which exploits the ordinal nature of the GBS disability score. The standard error of the estimated treatment effect indicated the statistical efficiency. RESULTS: Both trials were slightly imbalanced with respect to baseline characteristics, which was corrected in the adjusted analysis. Covariate adjustment increased the estimated treatment effect in the two trials by 8% and 18% respectively. Proportional odds analysis resulted in lower standard errors indicating more statistical power. CONCLUSION: Covariate adjustment and proportional odds analysis most efficiently use the available data and ensure balance between the treatment arms to obtain reliable and valid treatment effect estimates. These approaches merit application in future trials in rare and heterogeneous neurological diseases like GBS.
背景:由于患者数量少且疾病过程存在异质性,随机对照试验(RCT)在罕见和异质性神经疾病中存在特殊挑战。为了优化 RCT 中的这些问题,已经提出了两种分析方法:协变量调整和有序分析。我们以吉兰-巴雷综合征(GBS)为例,研究了这些方法在罕见和异质性神经疾病中的潜在效率增益。
方法:我们分析了两项已发表的 GBS 试验,主要结局是 GBS 残疾量表上“至少一级改善”。我们使用逻辑回归模型在未调整和调整预后因素的情况下估计治疗效果。未调整和调整估计之间的差异可以通过不平衡(治疗臂之间基线协变量的随机差异)和分层(由于协变量调整而改变估计值)来区分。其次,我们应用了比例优势回归,它利用了 GBS 残疾评分的有序性质。估计治疗效果的标准误差表明了统计效率。
结果:两项试验在基线特征方面略有不平衡,在调整分析中得到了纠正。协变量调整分别使两项试验中的估计治疗效果增加了 8%和 18%。比例优势分析导致更低的标准误差,表明具有更高的统计能力。
结论:协变量调整和比例优势分析最有效地利用了可用数据,并确保治疗臂之间的平衡,以获得可靠和有效的治疗效果估计。这些方法值得在未来罕见和异质性神经疾病(如 GBS)的试验中应用。
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