影响改善中重度创伤性脑损伤临床试验设计和分析的建议。
IMPACT recommendations for improving the design and analysis of clinical trials in moderate to severe traumatic brain injury.
机构信息
Department of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Antwerp, 2650 Edegem, Belgium.
出版信息
Neurotherapeutics. 2010 Jan;7(1):127-34. doi: 10.1016/j.nurt.2009.10.020.
Clinical trials in traumatic brain injury (TBI) pose complex methodological challenges, largely related to the heterogeneity of the population. The International Mission on Prognosis and Clinical Trial Design in TBI study group has explored approaches for dealing with this heterogeneity with the aim to optimize clinical trials in TBI. Extensive prognostic analyses and simulation studies were conducted on individual patient data from eight trials and three observational studies. Here, we integrate the results of these studies into the International Mission on Prognosis and Clinical Trial Design in TBI recommendations for design and analysis of trials in TBI: Details of the major baseline prognostic characteristics should be provided in every report on a TBI study; in trials they should be differentiated per treatment group. We also advocate the reporting of the baseline prognostic risk as determined by validated prognostic models. Inclusion criteria should be as broad as is compatible with the current understanding of the mechanisms of action of the intervention being evaluated. This will maximize recruitment rates and enhance the generalizability of the results. The statistical analysis should incorporate prespecified covariate adjustment to mitigate the effects of the heterogeneity. The statistical analysis should use an ordinal approach, based on either sliding dichotomy or proportional odds methodology. Broad inclusion criteria, prespecified covariate adjustment, and an ordinal analysis will promote an efficient trial, yielding gains in statistical efficiency of more than 40%. This corresponds to being able to detect a 7% treatment effect with the same number of patients needed to demonstrate a 10% difference with an unadjusted analysis based on the dichotomized Glasgow outcome scale.
创伤性脑损伤 (TBI) 的临床试验面临着复杂的方法学挑战,主要与人群的异质性有关。国际 TBI 预后和临床试验设计使命研究小组探索了处理这种异质性的方法,旨在优化 TBI 的临床试验。对八项试验和三项观察性研究的个体患者数据进行了广泛的预后分析和模拟研究。在这里,我们将这些研究的结果整合到国际 TBI 预后和临床试验设计使命的建议中,用于 TBI 试验的设计和分析:每项 TBI 研究报告都应提供主要基线预后特征的详细信息;在试验中,应按治疗组进行区分。我们还提倡报告由经过验证的预后模型确定的基线预后风险。纳入标准应尽可能广泛,与正在评估的干预措施的作用机制的当前理解相兼容。这将最大限度地提高招募率,并增强结果的普遍性。统计分析应纳入预设协变量调整,以减轻异质性的影响。统计分析应使用基于滑动二分法或比例优势方法的有序方法。广泛的纳入标准、预设协变量调整和有序分析将促进试验的高效进行,统计效率提高超过 40%。这相当于能够用相同数量的患者检测到 7%的治疗效果,而无需调整基于二分格拉斯哥结局量表的分析,就可以检测到 10%的差异。