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估算中上收入国家静脉注射吸毒者丙型肝炎流行率:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Estimating the prevalence of hepatitis C among intravenous drug users in upper middle income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

机构信息

Unidad de Investigación Epidemiológica y en Servicios de Salud Área Envejecimiento, Centro Médico Nacional Siglo XXI, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social (IMSS), Ciudad de México, México.

Unidad de Investigación Epidemiológica y en Servicios de Salud, Delegación Morelos, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Cuernavaca, Morelos, México.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 Feb 26;14(2):e0212558. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0212558. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

AIM

This systematic review and meta-analysis characterizes the prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among intravenous drug users (IDUs) in upper middle-income countries.

METHODS

Five databases were searched from 1990-2016 for studies that took place in countries with a GDP per capita of $7,000 to $13,000 USD. The data extraction was performed based on information regarding prevalence, sample size, age of participants, duration of intravenous drug use (IDU), recruitment location, dates of data collection, study design, sampling scheme, type of tests used in identifying antibody reactivity to HCV, and the use of confirmatory tests. The synthesis was performed with a random effects model. The Cochrane statistical Q-test was used to evaluate the statistical heterogeneity of the results.

RESULTS

The 33 studies included in the analysis correspond to a sample of seven countries and 23,342 observations. The point prevalence value estimates and confidence intervals of the random effects model were 0.729 and 0.644-0.800, respectively for all seven countries, and were greatest for China (0.633; 0.522-0.732) as compared to Brazil (0.396; 0.249-0.564). Prevalence for Montenegro (0.416; 0.237-0.621) and Malaysia (0.475; 0.177-0.792) appear to be intermediate. Mexico (0.960) and Mauritania (0.973) had only one study with the largest prevalence. A clear association was not observed between age or duration of IDU and prevalence of HCV, but the data from some groups may indicate a possible relationship. The measures of heterogeneity (Q and I2) suggest a high level of heterogeneity in studies conducted at the country level and by groups of countries.

CONCLUSIONS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we found that the pooled prevalence of HCV was high (0.729) among a group of seven upper middle income countries. However, there was significant variation in the prevalence of HCV observed in China (0.633) and Brazil (0.396).

摘要

目的

本系统评价和荟萃分析旨在描述中上收入国家静脉吸毒者(IDU)中丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)感染的流行率。

方法

从 1990 年至 2016 年,在人均 GDP 为 7000 至 13000 美元的国家中,对符合条件的数据库进行了检索。根据流行率、样本量、参与者年龄、静脉药物使用(IDU)持续时间、招募地点、数据收集日期、研究设计、抽样方案、用于识别 HCV 抗体反应的检测类型以及确证检测的使用等信息,进行数据提取。使用随机效应模型进行综合分析。Cochrane 统计量 Q 检验用于评估结果的统计学异质性。

结果

分析中纳入的 33 项研究对应于七个国家的样本和 23342 项观察结果。所有七个国家的随机效应模型的点流行率值估计和置信区间分别为 0.729 和 0.644-0.800,中国(0.633;0.522-0.732)的流行率最高,而巴西(0.396;0.249-0.564)的流行率最低。黑山(0.416;0.237-0.621)和马来西亚(0.475;0.177-0.792)的流行率似乎处于中间水平。墨西哥(0.960)和毛里塔尼亚(0.973)只有一项研究,其流行率最高。年龄或 IDU 持续时间与 HCV 流行率之间没有明显的关联,但来自某些群体的数据可能表明存在某种关系。异质性的度量(Q 和 I2)表明,在国家层面和国家组层面进行的研究中存在高度的异质性。

结论

在本系统评价和荟萃分析中,我们发现,一组七个中上收入国家的 HCV 总流行率较高(0.729)。然而,在中国(0.633)和巴西(0.396)观察到的 HCV 流行率存在显著差异。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d27c/6391024/9c0e1e75e1cf/pone.0212558.g001.jpg

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