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基于大小的生态相互作用驱动食物网对气候变暖的响应。

Size-based ecological interactions drive food web responses to climate warming.

机构信息

Department of Aquatic Resources, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Institute of Coastal Research, Skolgatan 6, Öregrund, 742 42, Sweden.

School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences (SAFS), University of Washington, Box 355020, Seattle, WA, 98195-5020, USA.

出版信息

Ecol Lett. 2019 May;22(5):778-786. doi: 10.1111/ele.13235. Epub 2019 Feb 28.

Abstract

Predicting climate change impacts on animal communities requires knowledge of how physiological effects are mediated by ecological interactions. Food-dependent growth and within-species size variation depend on temperature and affect community dynamics through feedbacks between individual performance and population size structure. Still, we know little about how warming affects these feedbacks. Using a dynamic stage-structured biomass model with food-, size- and temperature-dependent life history processes, we analyse how temperature affects coexistence, stability and size structure in a tri-trophic food chain, and find that warming effects on community stability depend on ecological interactions. Predator biomass densities generally decline with warming - gradually or through collapses - depending on which consumer life stage predators feed on. Collapses occur when warming induces alternative stable states via Allee effects. This suggests that predator persistence in warmer climates may be lower than previously acknowledged and that effects of warming on food web stability largely depend on species interactions.

摘要

预测气候变化对动物群落的影响需要了解生理效应如何通过生态相互作用来调节。食物依赖的生长和种内大小变化取决于温度,并通过个体表现和种群大小结构之间的反馈影响群落动态。尽管如此,我们对变暖如何影响这些反馈知之甚少。本研究使用一个具有食物、大小和温度依赖的生活史过程的动态阶段结构生物量模型,分析了温度如何影响三营养食物链中的共存、稳定性和大小结构,结果发现,温度对群落稳定性的影响取决于生态相互作用。随着变暖,捕食者生物量密度通常会下降——逐渐下降或通过崩溃——这取决于捕食者以哪个消费者生命阶段为食。当变暖通过阿利效应诱导替代稳定状态时,崩溃就会发生。这表明,在温暖的气候中,捕食者的生存能力可能低于先前的认识,并且变暖对食物网稳定性的影响在很大程度上取决于物种相互作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8838/6849876/3d5be36f15df/ELE-22-778-g001.jpg

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