The predictive value of skin telangiectasia for late radiation effects in different normal tissues.

Alterations in the microcirculation and parenchymal cell loss are common phenomena after irradiation of different organs. Whether parenchymal cell loss is a process well dissociated from vasculoconnective damage, or a consequence of this, is much debated. However, comprehensive radiopathological studies have shown that vasculoconnective tissue is an important common target for late effects in various organs. Scoring of skin telangiectasia was used by us as a clinical assay of late tissue effects after different dose schedules. All studies were done prospectively with standardized skin area, field size and radiation quality. The patients were scored regularly up to 10 years. The number of patients at risk for a prescribed score versus time was calculated with the life-table method. The late effects after 5 X 2.0 Gy/wk, in the dose range 40 to 70 Gy and after 2 X 4.0 Gy/wk, in the dose range 40 to 56 Gy have been established. The skin dose is 90% of the referred dose. Dose-response curves, relating the proportion of patients with a certain score at a fixed time and radiation dose and dose-latency curves, relating the latent period for a fixed proportion of patients with a certain score and radiation dose, were constructed. The analysis shows that: ED10/5 yr and ED50/5 yr for 5 X 2.0 Gy/wk is 50 Gy and 65 Gy, respectively, for distinct telangiectasia; The latent period, concerning both a certain frequency and degree of reaction, varies exponentially with dose level; The latent period for 50% of the patients, to obtain a certain score, LP50, is correlated to that for 10%, LP10, with LP50/LP10 = 2.2 +/- 0.2 (S.D.). This correlation is independent of score, total dose, and fractionation; Isoeffective doses for 5 X 2.0 Gy/wk and 2 X 4.0 Gy/wk, determined from the dose-response curves, resulted in the repair exp N between 0.31 and 0.32 and alpha/beta ratio between 2.9 and 3.1 Gy and determined from the dose-latency curves in exp N between 0.30 and 0.32 and alpha/beta ratio between 3.4 and 2.9 Gy. In conclusion, frequent and careful follow-up with registration of normal tissue reactions, until at least 10% of the patients have obtained the prescribed effect, is predictive for the further progression of the late effects. The fractionation characteristics for telangiectasia agree well with those for animal experimental morphological and functional endpoints for late effects in different organs and support the relevance of telangiectasia as a model for predicting late effects.