Muller William, Mitchell Logan, Wilson Graham
Department of Medicine, University of Otago, Dunedin School of Medicine, Dunedin.
Consultant Ophthalmologist, Dunedin Hospital, Clinical Senior Lecturer, University of Otago, Dunedin School of Medicine, Dunedin.
N Z Med J. 2019 Mar 8;132(1491):63-70.
To assess the accuracy of the B4 School Check (B4SC) vision screening programme in two distinct regions of New Zealand.
A retrospective audit of all children who were screened for vision in the Southern and Tairawhiti District Health Boards, between 1 April and 30 September 2016. Results from the B4SC screening programme (n=2,109) were compared to records for all children who were screened and subsequently presented to an optometrist at a DHB eye clinic (n=116).
The B4SC produced a sensitivity in the range of 54.7% to 94.7% and a specificity of 93.8% to 95.7%. There was a low positive predictive value (PPV), between 29.5% and 51.1%, with a relatively high number of false positive referrals. The negative predictive value (NPV) was higher, however, between 97.8% and 99.7%, meaning nearly all children who passed screening had no visual impairment.
The high NPV is reassuring that very few children with visual impairment are missed by screening. The low PPV was consistent with the international literature and is related to a tendency for over-referral from the B4CS programme. Further work could evaluate increasing the threshold for referral to reduce the number of false positive cases.
评估新西兰两个不同地区的B4学校视力筛查计划(B4SC)的准确性。
对2016年4月1日至9月30日期间在南部和泰拉威提地区卫生局接受视力筛查的所有儿童进行回顾性审计。将B4SC筛查计划的结果(n = 2109)与所有接受筛查并随后到卫生局眼科诊所验光师处就诊的儿童记录(n = 116)进行比较。
B4SC的敏感性在54.7%至94.7%之间,特异性在93.8%至95.7%之间。阳性预测值(PPV)较低,在29.5%至51.1%之间,假阳性转诊数量相对较多。然而,阴性预测值(NPV)较高,在97.8%至99.7%之间,这意味着几乎所有通过筛查的儿童都没有视力障碍。
高NPV令人放心,即筛查很少遗漏有视力障碍的儿童。低PPV与国际文献一致,并且与B4CS计划过度转诊的倾向有关。进一步的工作可以评估提高转诊阈值以减少假阳性病例的数量。