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低级别动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血:多中心研究中影响颅内动脉瘤患者临床结局的危险因素

Poor-Grade Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Risk Factors Affecting Clinical Outcomes in Intracranial Aneurysm Patients in a Multi-Center Study.

作者信息

Zheng Kuang, Zhong Ming, Zhao Bing, Chen Si-Yan, Tan Xian-Xi, Li Ze-Qun, Xiong Ye, Duan Chuan-Zhi

机构信息

Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory on Brain Function Repair and Regeneration, Department of Neurosurgery, The National Key Clinic Specialty, The Neurosurgery Institute of Guangdong Province, Zhujiang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Department of Neurosurgery, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Neurol. 2019 Feb 27;10:123. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2019.00123. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

Patients with poor-grade aneurysm subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) have commonly been considered to have a poor prognosis. The objective of this study was to investigate the independent risk factors affecting clinical outcomes in intracranial aneurysm patients with poor-grade aneurysm subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) underwent different intervention therapies. A multicenter observational registry of 324 poor-grade aSAH patients treated at tertiary referral centers from October 2010 to March 2012 were enrolled in this study. The clinical data including patient characteristics on admission and during treatment course, treatment modality, aneurysm size and location, radiologic features, signs of cerebral herniation (dilated pupils), and functional neurologic outcome were collected. Clinical outcomes were assessed via a modified Rankin Scale at 12 months. Multivariate logistic regression models were used to develop prognostic models. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curves (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests were used to assess discrimination and calibration. WAP score was developed to predict risk of poor outcome. Older age, female gender, ventilated breathing status, non-reactive pupil response, pupil dilation, lower GCS score, a WFNS grade of V, intraventricular hemorrhage, a higher Fisher grade, a higher modified Fisher grade, and conservative treatment were calculated to be associated with a relatively poor outcome. Multivariate analyses revealed that older age, lower Glasgow coma scale score (GCS), the absence of pupillary reactivity, higher modified Fisher grade, and conservative treatment were independent predictors of poor outcome, showed good discrimination and calibration. Patients with WFNS grade V, older age and non-reactive pupillary reactivity were predicted to have a poor outcome by WAP risk score. A simple WAP risk score had good discrimination and calibration in the prediction of outcome. The risk score can be easily measured and may complement treatment decision-making.

摘要

低级别动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)患者通常被认为预后较差。本研究的目的是调查接受不同干预治疗的低级别动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(aSAH)颅内动脉瘤患者临床结局的独立危险因素。本研究纳入了2010年10月至2012年3月在三级转诊中心接受治疗的324例低级别aSAH患者的多中心观察性登记数据。收集了临床数据,包括入院时和治疗过程中的患者特征、治疗方式、动脉瘤大小和位置、影像学特征、脑疝体征(瞳孔散大)以及功能性神经学结局。在12个月时通过改良Rankin量表评估临床结局。使用多变量逻辑回归模型建立预后模型。采用受试者操作特征曲线(AUC)下面积和Hosmer-Lemeshow检验来评估区分度和校准度。开发了WAP评分以预测不良结局风险。年龄较大、女性、通气呼吸状态、瞳孔反应无变化、瞳孔散大、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分较低、世界神经外科联盟(WFNS)分级为V级、脑室内出血、Fisher分级较高、改良Fisher分级较高以及保守治疗被认为与相对较差的结局相关。多变量分析显示,年龄较大、格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)评分较低、瞳孔无反应性、改良Fisher分级较高以及保守治疗是不良结局的独立预测因素,具有良好的区分度和校准度。WFNS分级为V级、年龄较大和瞳孔无反应性的患者通过WAP风险评分预测预后较差。一个简单的WAP风险评分在结局预测中具有良好的区分度和校准度。该风险评分易于测量,可能有助于辅助治疗决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9b3a/6400833/c30d09b020a7/fneur-10-00123-g0001.jpg

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