Huang Tianxing, Li Wenjie, Zhou Yu, Zhong Weijia, Zhou Zhiming
Department of Radiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Department of Radiology, People's Hospital of Linshui County, Guang'an, China.
Front Neurosci. 2024 Oct 21;18:1446784. doi: 10.3389/fnins.2024.1446784. eCollection 2024.
This study attempted to determine potential predictors among radiomics features for poor prognosis in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), develop models for prediction, and verify their predictive power.
In total, 252 patients with aSAH were included in this study and categorized into favorable and poor outcome groups based on the modified Rankin Scale score 3 months after event. Radiomics features of the ruptured intracranial aneurysm extracted from computed tomography angiography images were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and 10-fold cross-validation. A radiomics score was created by selecting the optimal features. Other risk factors for a poor prognosis were screened using multivariate regression analysis. Three models (clinical, aneurysm, and clinical-aneurysm combined models) were developed. The performance of the models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A clinical-aneurysm combined nomogram was constructed to forecast the risk of poor prognosis in patients with aSAH.
A total of three clinical variables and six radiomics features were shown to have a significant association with poor prognosis in patients with aSAH. In the training cohort, the clinical, aneurysm, and clinical-aneurysm combined models had areas under the ROC curves of 0.846, 0.762, and 0.893, respectively. In the testing cohort, these models had areas under the ROC curves of 0.848, 0.753, and 0.869, respectively.
The radiomics characteristics of ruptured intracranial aneurysms are valuable to predict prognosis after aSAH. The clinical-aneurysm combined model exhibited the best among the three models. The clinical-aneurysm combined nomogram is a reliable and effective tool for predicting poor prognosis in patients with aSAH.
本研究旨在确定动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(aSAH)预后不良的放射组学特征中的潜在预测因素,建立预测模型,并验证其预测能力。
本研究共纳入252例aSAH患者,根据事件发生后3个月的改良Rankin量表评分分为预后良好组和预后不良组。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子回归及10倍交叉验证,从计算机断层扫描血管造影图像中提取破裂颅内动脉瘤的放射组学特征。通过选择最佳特征创建放射组学评分。使用多变量回归分析筛选其他预后不良的危险因素。建立了三个模型(临床、动脉瘤和临床-动脉瘤联合模型)。使用受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线评估模型的性能。构建了临床-动脉瘤联合列线图以预测aSAH患者预后不良的风险。
共有三个临床变量和六个放射组学特征与aSAH患者的预后不良显著相关。在训练队列中,临床、动脉瘤和临床-动脉瘤联合模型的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.846、0.762和0.893。在测试队列中,这些模型的ROC曲线下面积分别为0.848、0.753和0.869。
破裂颅内动脉瘤的放射组学特征对预测aSAH后的预后具有重要价值。临床-动脉瘤联合模型在三个模型中表现最佳。临床-动脉瘤联合列线图是预测aSAH患者预后不良的可靠有效工具。