Steele Abbey
Department of Political Science, University of Amsterdam.
J Peace Res. 2019 Jan;56(1):28-41. doi: 10.1177/0022343318820576. Epub 2019 Jan 21.
This article proposes a descriptive typology of civilian resettlement patterns in civil wars. The patterns vary in two dimensions: whether or not displaced civilians cluster together or resettle independently, and if they remain within their home country or not. The combination of the factors leads to four resettlement patterns: expulsion, segregation, integration, and dispersion. Expulsion and segregation occur when the displaced cluster, either within the home state (segregation) or beyond it (expulsion). Integration and dispersion occur when the displaced do not cluster but seek to blend in with other communities, either abroad (dispersion) or within core cities and towns in the state (integration). After introducing the typology and illustrating it with examples, the article engages in theory-building to explain variation in resettlement patterns. It argues that resettlement forms are based on the type of displacement that civilians experience, and the perpetrator of the violence. The displacement type influences individuals' best strategy for achieving relative safety. Within and across wars, groups that experience political cleansing are likely to cluster together for safety. The best destination options for the displaced to resettle depend on the perpetrator, which lead to clustering either within a state if the actor is non-state, or outside the state if the actor is the state or an ally. The argument is illustrated with examples. Finally, the article considers the implications of resettlement patterns for violence, conflict, and state-building.
本文提出了一种内战中平民重新安置模式的描述性类型学。这些模式在两个维度上有所不同:流离失所的平民是聚集在一起还是独立重新安置,以及他们是否留在本国境内。这些因素的组合导致了四种重新安置模式:驱逐、隔离、融合和分散。当流离失所者聚集时,驱逐和隔离就会发生,要么在本国境内(隔离),要么在境外(驱逐)。当流离失所者不聚集而是试图融入其他社区时,融合和分散就会发生,要么在国外(分散),要么在本国的核心城镇内(融合)。在介绍了这种类型学并用例子进行说明之后,本文进行理论构建以解释重新安置模式的变化。它认为重新安置形式基于平民所经历的流离失所类型以及暴力行为的实施者。流离失所类型影响个人实现相对安全的最佳策略。在战争期间和不同战争之间,经历政治清洗的群体可能会为了安全而聚集在一起。流离失所者重新安置的最佳目的地选择取决于实施者,如果实施者是非国家行为体,流离失所者可能会在一个国家内聚集,如果实施者是国家或盟友,则可能会在境外聚集。文中用例子对这一论点进行了说明。最后,本文考虑了重新安置模式对暴力、冲突和国家建设的影响。