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急性心力衰竭患者既往住院对预后的影响。

Prognostic Impact of Previous Hospitalization in Acute Heart Failure Patients.

机构信息

Division of Cardiology, Internal Medicine III, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine.

Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Keio University School of Medicine.

出版信息

Circ J. 2019 May 24;83(6):1261-1268. doi: 10.1253/circj.CJ-18-1087. Epub 2019 Apr 3.

DOI:10.1253/circj.CJ-18-1087
PMID:30944274
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The natural course of heart failure (HF) is typically associated with repeated hospitalizations, and subsequently, patient prognosis deteriorates. However, the precise relationship between repeated admissions for HF and long-term prognosis remains unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed data from 1,730 consecutive acute HF patients registered in the West Tokyo Heart Failure (WET-HF) registry between June 2005 and April 2014 (median age, 76 years). Patients were divided into 3 groups according to the number of previous HF admissions at the time of the index admission (0, n=876 [55.4%]; 1, n=425 [26.9%]; ≥2, n=279 [17.7%] previous admissions). A history of multiple previous admissions was an independent predictor for all-cause death and HF readmission in reference to a history of a single previous admission (hazard ratio (HR), 1.53; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10-2.13; HR, 1.90 95% CI, 1.47-2.44, respectively) or no previous admissions (HR, 1.37, 95% CI, 1.01-1.85; HR, 2.83, 95% CI, 2.19-3.65, respectively). On the other hand, a history of a single previous admission was an independent predictor for HF readmission in reference to a history of no previous admissions (HR, 1.51, 95% CI, 1.18-1.92), but not for all-cause death (HR, 0.89, 95% CI, 0.66-1.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on a contemporary multicenter HF registry, a history of multiple previous HF admissions was revealed as an independent, strong risk factor of adverse events following the index admission. The number of hospitalizations could be a simple and important surrogate indicating subsequent adverse events in patients with HF.

摘要

背景

心力衰竭(HF)的自然病程通常与反复住院有关,随后患者的预后恶化。然而,HF 反复住院与长期预后的确切关系尚不清楚。

方法和结果

我们分析了 2005 年 6 月至 2014 年 4 月期间在西东京心力衰竭(WET-HF)注册中心连续登记的 1730 例急性 HF 患者的数据(中位年龄为 76 岁)。根据指数入院时之前 HF 入院次数,将患者分为 3 组(0 次,n=876[55.4%];1 次,n=425[26.9%];≥2 次,n=279[17.7%])。与单次入院史相比,多次入院史是全因死亡和 HF 再入院的独立预测因素(风险比(HR),1.53;95%置信区间(CI)1.10-2.13;HR,1.90,95%CI,1.47-2.44)或无入院史(HR,1.37,95%CI,1.01-1.85;HR,2.83,95%CI,2.19-3.65)。另一方面,与无入院史相比,单次入院史是 HF 再入院的独立预测因素(HR,1.51,95%CI,1.18-1.92),但不是全因死亡(HR,0.89,95%CI,0.66-1.20)。

结论

基于当代多中心 HF 注册中心的数据,多次 HF 入院史被揭示为指数入院后不良事件的独立、强危险因素。住院次数可能是一个简单而重要的替代指标,可以预测 HF 患者的后续不良事件。

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