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HAS-BLED评分在急性冠脉综合征患者风险分层中的应用

Utility of the HAS-BLED score for risk stratification of patients with acute coronary syndrome.

作者信息

Castini Diego, Persampieri Simone, Sabatelli Ludovico, Erba Massimo, Ferrante Giulia, Valli Federica, Centola Marco, Carugo Stefano

机构信息

Division of Cardiology, San Paolo Hospital, Via A. di Rudinì 8, 20142, Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Heart Vessels. 2019 Oct;34(10):1621-1630. doi: 10.1007/s00380-019-01405-1. Epub 2019 Apr 10.

Abstract

HAS-BLED score was developed for bleeding prediction in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Recently, it was also used in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI). This study analyzes the HAS-BLED predictivity for bleedings and mortality in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) without AF, and evaluates the utilization of alternative criteria for renal dysfunction. The study population was composed of 704 patients with ACS. Six-hundred and eleven patients completed the follow-up. The HAS-BLED score was calculated both using the original definition of renal dysfunction, both using three alternative eGFR thresholds (< 30, < 60 and ≤ 90 ml/min/1.73 mq). In-hospital and post-discharge bleedings and mortality were recorded, and calibration and discrimination of the various risk models were evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the C-statistic. In-hospital bleedings were 4.7% and mortality was 2.7%. Post-discharge bleedings were 3.1% and mortality was 4.4%. Regarding bleeding events and in-hospital mortality, the HAS-BLED original risk model demonstrated a moderate-to-good discriminative performance (C-statistics from 0.65 to 0.76). No significant differences were found in predictive accuracy when applying alternative definitions of renal dysfunction based on eGFR, with the exception of post-discharge mortality, for which HAS-BLED model assuming an eGFR value < 60 ml/min/1.73 mq showed a discriminative performance significantly higher in comparison to the other risk models (C-statistic 0.71 versus 0.64-0.66). In conclusion, in our ACS population, the HAS-BLED risk score showed a fairly good predictive accuracy regarding in-hospital and follow-up bleeding events and in-hospital mortality. The use of renal dysfunction alternative criteria based on eGFR values resulted in out-of hospital mortality predictive accuracy enhancement.

摘要

HAS - BLED评分用于预测心房颤动(AF)患者的出血情况。最近,它也被用于接受经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)的患者。本研究分析了HAS - BLED评分对无AF的急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)患者出血和死亡的预测能力,并评估了肾功能不全替代标准的应用情况。研究人群包括704例ACS患者。611例患者完成了随访。使用肾功能不全的原始定义以及三个替代的估算肾小球滤过率(eGFR)阈值(<30、<60和≤90 ml/min/1.73 m²)计算HAS - BLED评分。记录住院期间和出院后的出血及死亡情况,并使用Hosmer - Lemeshow检验和C统计量评估各种风险模型的校准和鉴别能力。住院期间出血率为4.7%,死亡率为2.7%。出院后出血率为3.1%,死亡率为4.4%。关于出血事件和住院死亡率,HAS - BLED原始风险模型显示出中等至良好的鉴别性能(C统计量为0.65至0.76)。基于eGFR应用肾功能不全的替代定义时,除出院后死亡率外,预测准确性未发现显著差异,对于出院后死亡率,假设eGFR值<60 ml/min/1.73 m²的HAS - BLED模型与其他风险模型相比显示出显著更高的鉴别性能(C统计量为0.71,而其他为0.64 - 0.66)。总之,在我们的ACS人群中,HAS - BLED风险评分在住院和随访出血事件以及住院死亡率方面显示出相当好的预测准确性。基于eGFR值使用肾功能不全替代标准可提高院外死亡率的预测准确性。

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