School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Collaborative Innovation Center for Energy Economics and Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, PR China.
School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Collaborative Innovation Center for Energy Economics and Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, PR China.
Sci Total Environ. 2019 May 20;666:964-974. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.298. Epub 2019 Feb 20.
The South-South trade has witnessed a rapid development over the years, but its impacts on the participating countries remain unknown. Taking Sino-Russian trade as evidence, a multiregional input-output model is adopted and three types of non-carbon pollutant are chosen to investigate whether China has become the "pollution heaven" in South-South trade. After investigating the industry structure distribution and trade flows of embodied pollution during 2000-2014, the driving factors of the changes in embodied pollutant are further explored by Structural Decomposition Analysis (SDA). The results showed that China has gradually lost the win-win situation of trade surplus and pollution reduction. Since the year 2007, China has totally become a net exporter of embodied pollutions, and has become to bear the environmental costs in the trade with Russia. The expansion of exports to Russia is the main cause of increasing embodied pollutant emission in China, and the progress of emissions reduction technology effect is not sufficient to offset the increase in embodied pollutant emissions. From the sectoral aspect, we find that the exports of textiles, leather, chemical, machinery and electronics are the main causes of pollution outflows. Meanwhile, imports of mineral, transport, metals, coke, petroleum and nuclear fuel to a certain extent eased the pressure of pollution reduction in China.
南南贸易近年来发展迅速，但参与国的影响仍不清楚。以中俄贸易为例，采用多区域投入产出模型，选择了三种非碳污染物，以研究中国是否已成为南南贸易中的“污染天堂”。在调查了 2000-2014 年期间体现污染的产业结构分布和贸易流量后，进一步通过结构分解分析（SDA）探讨了体现污染物变化的驱动因素。结果表明，中国已逐渐失去贸易顺差和减少污染的双赢局面。自 2007 年以来，中国已完全成为体现污染的净出口国，并开始承担与俄罗斯贸易的环境成本。对俄罗斯出口的扩大是导致中国体现污染物排放增加的主要原因，而减排技术效果的进步不足以抵消体现污染物排放的增加。从部门角度来看，我们发现纺织品、皮革、化工、机械和电子等行业的出口是污染流出的主要原因。同时，矿产品、运输、金属、焦炭、石油和核燃料的进口在一定程度上缓解了中国减排的压力。
