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最后,德国人总是会赢,不是吗?对国际足球俱乐部比赛最后时刻按国家划分的评分行为的评估。

And at the end, the Germans always win, don't they? An evaluation of country-specific scoring behaviour in the dying seconds of international club soccer games.

机构信息

Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.

Research Foundation-Flanders, Brussels, Belgium.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 Apr 16;14(4):e0202852. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0202852. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

This article contributes to the literature on performance determinants in soccer by investigating country differences in goal scoring in the dying seconds of international soccer games (i.e. in the 90th minute or later). We analyse this goal-scoring behaviour in 1,008 recent soccer games played in the Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) Champions League and Europa League. In contrast to Gary Lineker's well-known quote that "at the end, the Germans always win", no significant evidence is found for German teams scoring a goal in the dying seconds more often than other teams. Our results indicate, however, that European clubs do have an interest in learning from the end-of-game tactics used by French and Spanish clubs in recent international games as these teams were less likely to concede a goal during the dying seconds. English teams were also in this situation but only if they had an English coach.

摘要

本文通过研究国际足球比赛最后时刻(即第 90 分钟及以后)进球的国别差异,为足球表现决定因素的文献做出了贡献。我们分析了在欧洲足球协会联盟(UEFA)冠军联赛和欧罗巴联赛中进行的 1008 场最近的足球比赛中的这种进球行为。与加里·莱因克尔(Gary Lineker)著名的“德国人总是赢”的说法相反,没有确凿的证据表明德国队在最后时刻进球的次数多于其他球队。然而,我们的结果表明,欧洲俱乐部确实有兴趣从法国和西班牙俱乐部在最近国际比赛中使用的终场比赛战术中学习,因为这些球队在最后时刻失球的可能性较小。如果英格兰队有一名英国教练,他们也会处于这种情况。

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